Haris Hajradinovic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Haris Hajradinovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (554 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 25.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €368k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -64% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 554 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1277
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €326k – €898k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 71 pts; team strength down (-65 Elo); relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -65% (IQR -74% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 554 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 7 | 554 | 18% | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 1277 | 1203 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 34 | 2901 | 90% | 9 | 9 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 1291 | 1268 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 38 | 3310 | 97% | 5 | 16 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 1293 | 1290 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 33 | 2236 | 69% | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1305 | 1295 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 36 | 2777 | 81% | 2 | 7 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 1254 | 1312 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 36 | 3112 | 86% | 5 | 7 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 1274 | 1208 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 30 | 2448 | 80% | 4 | 8 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 1349 | 1273 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 16 | 843 | 28% | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 1359 | 1259 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 3 | 103 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1272 | 1432 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | NK Osijek | 4 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 1408 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AS Trencin | 4 | 192 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Shvets Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| David Wotherspoon Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 32 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Abdul-Aziz Tetteh Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €950k | €150k | fell |
| Loret Sadiku Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Soner Aydoğdu Super Lig · 2023 | 32 | €650k | €125k | fell |
| Stefanos Siontis Super League 1 · 2019 | 32 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Martin Spelmann Superliga · 2019 | 32 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Fernando Usero Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2019 | NK Osijek | Kasimpasa | €2.5M | €1.4M |
| 4 Sept 2017 | Haugesund | NK Osijek | €700k | €600k |
| 1 Feb 2017 | Haugesund | KAA Gent | Free / loan | €600k |
| 18 Jan 2016 | KAA Gent | Haugesund | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2015 | AS Trencin | KAA Gent | Unknown | €375k |
| 9 Jul 2013 | Inter Zapresic | AS Trencin | Unknown | €150k |
| 10 Jan 2013 | OFK Olimpik | Inter Zapresic | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Zeljeznicar U19 | OFK Olimpik | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.