Riechedly Bazoer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Riechedly Bazoer's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 66
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €767k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 928 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1230
- Opponent strength
- 1248
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €563k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; relative output down 75% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -49% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 928 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 15 | 928 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1248 | 1230 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 25 | 1924 | 59% | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 1281 | 1228 | 0.39 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CM | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1328 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 30 | 2437 | 80% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1346 | 1441 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | AM | 16 | 322 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1319 | 1530 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | CB | 26 | 1971 | 64% | 1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 1354 | 1379 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | CB | 29 | 2457 | 80% | 5 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 1359 | 1394 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | DM | 22 | 1718 | 73% | 3 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1333 | 1393 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | RM | 12 | 894 | 29% | 3 | 3 | 0.60 | 0.29 | 1326 | 1415 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | DM | 13 | 590 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1506 | 1434 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | DM | 12 | 972 | 32% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1533 | 1490 | 1.06 |
| 2016/17 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 5 | 235 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1247 | 1627 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 29 | 2322 | 76% | 5 | 5 | 0.39 | 0.21 | 1322 | 1619 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 17 | 1216 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1327 | 1543 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Curaçao | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 354 | 0 | 0 | 1280 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 205 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1268 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 4 | 347 | 0 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 3 | 200 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 5 | 434 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 156 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 295 | 0 | 0 | 1526 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | 1376 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 390 | 1 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Miranda Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Majid Hosseini Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €2.2M | €700k | fell |
| Samba Camara Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Koray Günter Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €850k | €600k | fell |
| Joseph Attamah Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Khadim Rassoul Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Igor Yurganov Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Sigurd Rosted Superliga · 2023 | 29 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sept 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | Konyaspor | Unknown | €4.0M |
| 1 Aug 2022 | Vitesse | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 12 Jul 2019 | Wolfsburg | Vitesse | €1.5M | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Utrecht | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 7 Jan 2019 | Wolfsburg | Utrecht | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 6 Jan 2019 | Porto | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | Wolfsburg | Porto | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Ajax | Wolfsburg | €12.0M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 20 Nov 2012 | PSV U19 | Ajax U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | PSV U17 | PSV U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | PSV Yth. | PSV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Elinkwijk Yth. | PSV Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.