Jérémie Boga
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jérémie Boga's performance-implied value at EUR 4.3M-6.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-7.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-5.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1322 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 70.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €4.9M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1322 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.61
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 70 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1489
- Opponent strength
- 1515
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €5.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 78% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -57% to -37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1322 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Juventus FC | Serie A | LW | 15 | 677 | 20% | 4 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.40 | 1515 | 1614 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LW | 14 | 645 | 21% | 2 | 2 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 1462 | 1358 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LW | 21 | 1057 | 35% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 1484 | 1521 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LW | 28 | 2011 | 66% | 6 | 6 | 0.54 | 0.43 | 1464 | 1511 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | LW | 23 | 772 | 23% | 2 | 5 | 0.82 | 0.44 | 1425 | 1556 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | LW | 15 | 763 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1449 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2021/22 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 12 | 673 | 20% | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 1480 | 1464 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 27 | 1792 | 52% | 4 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 1489 | 1502 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 34 | 2525 | 74% | 11 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 1435 | 1428 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 25 | 1440 | 42% | 3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 1465 | 1351 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | AM | 1 | 18 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1411 | 1667 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Granada CF | Laliga | AM | 26 | 1452 | 42% | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1558 | 1324 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LW | 27 | 961 | 28% | 2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 1436 | 1396 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 4 | 259 | 0 | 0 | 1546 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 1 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | OGC Nice | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1640 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 3 | 139 | 2 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 130 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 6 | 223 | 1 | 1 | 1623 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 35 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Birmingham City | 3 | 128 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessio Cerci Serie A · 2016 | 29 | €8.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Mauricio Pinilla Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €3.4M | €2.2M | fell |
| Manolo Gabbiadini Serie A · 2019 | 28 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Gianluca Lapadula Serie A · 2017 | 27 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Raffael Bundesliga · 2013 | 28 | €7.5M | €8.0M | flat |
| Rafael Borré Bundesliga · 2024 | 29 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Robert Beric Ligue 1 · 2019 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Aiden McGeady Premier Liga · 2013 | 27 | €7.5M | €4.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Juventus | Nice | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Nice | Juventus | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 25 Jul 2023 | Atalanta | Nice | €17.5M | €14.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Sassuolo | Atalanta | €22.0M | €19.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Atalanta | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €19.0M |
| 24 Jan 2022 | Sassuolo | Atalanta | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 21 Jul 2018 | Chelsea U23 | Sassuolo | €10.0M | €2.5M |
| 31 May 2018 | Birmingham | Chelsea U23 | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 28 Aug 2017 | Chelsea U23 | Birmingham | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Granada CF | Chelsea U23 | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 6 Jul 2016 | Chelsea U23 | Granada CF | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Stade Rennais | Chelsea U21 | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Chelsea U21 | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Chelsea U18 | Chelsea U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Chelsea Youth | Chelsea U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | ASPTT Jugend | Chelsea Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.