İrfan Can Kahveci

31 yrs · Right winger (also AM, CM) · Türkiye
Kasimpasa · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
14/100
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€850k – €2.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€678k – €2.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€769k – €2.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.9M – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€850k – €2.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€678k – €2.1M
Projected value (24 months)€769k – €2.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates İrfan Can Kahveci's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1652 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 14

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average31.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.6M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-63% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €11.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1652 (54% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.27
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
32 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1250
Opponent strength
1263
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€769k – €2.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 26 pts; changed club; team strength down (-253 Elo); relative output up 52% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -69% to -34%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1652 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KasimpasaSuper LigRW16137145%230.330.41126312030.40
2025/26FenerbahceSuper LigRW82819%000.000.17121814770.40
2024/25FenerbahceSuper LigRW2692028%230.490.27126215030.39
2023/24FenerbahceSuper LigRW31202459%1290.930.48130315830.45
2022/23FenerbahceSuper LigRW27151547%430.420.29127215160.50
2021/22FenerbahceSuper LigRW24164148%470.600.40123114220.42
2020/21Basaksehir FKSuper LigCM18148741%210.180.14126112660.37
2020/21FenerbahceSuper LigCM1267019%020.270.17125013800.37
2019/20Basaksehir FKSuper LigCM29242779%450.330.21134014620.45
2018/19Basaksehir FKSuper LigCM32254383%450.320.20137214940.58
2017/18Basaksehir FKSuper LigCM25117538%110.150.15138815520.68
2016/17Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigAM1596932%120.280.34139513620.62
2016/17Basaksehir FKSuper LigAM1244515%100.200.22130415170.62
2015/16Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigAM32205567%330.260.36140013680.64
2014/15Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigAM24143447%550.630.52142913750.72

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce261001570
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce236001453
2025/26World CupTurkiye1100—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce10275001529
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce493101495
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFenerbahce6341421395
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce7303111546
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce2109001531
2022/23Uefa Europa League QualifyingFenerbahce177211393
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce3207011532
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingFenerbahce154001373
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueBasaksehir FK6488311733
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueBasaksehir FK9780201546
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingBasaksehir FK180001567
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingBasaksehir FK2166001515
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueBasaksehir FK4294011541

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ahmed Hassan
Super Lig · 2023
30€2.6M€800kfell
Fabio Borini
Super Lig · 2021
30€4.0M€2.8Mfell
Emre Kılınç
Super Lig · 2023
29€2.8M€1.8Mfell
Stéphane Bahoken
Super Lig · 2023
31€2.0M€950kfell
Garry Rodrigues
Super Lig · 2020
30€5.5M€3.0Mfell
Danijel Aleksic
Super Lig · 2021
30€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Olarenwaju Kayode
Super Lig · 2022
29€3.2M€1.0Mfell
Khouma Babacar
Super Lig · 2021
28€5.0M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026KasimpasaFenerbahçeFree / loan€3.0M
8 Jan 2026FenerbahçeKasimpasaFree / loan€4.5M
31 Jan 2021BasaksehirFenerbahçe€7.0M€10.0M
4 Jan 2017GenclerbirligiBasaksehir€1.6M€2.5M
30 Jun 2014HacettepeGenclerbirligiFree / loan€50k
1 Aug 2013GenclerbirligiHacettepeFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2013G.Birligi U21GenclerbirligiUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2012G.Birligi YthG.Birligi U21Unknown€50k

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.