Neal Maupay

The model rates Neal Maupay's performance-implied value at EUR 4.1M-9.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-4.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (872 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

872 (26% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.31

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.46

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 5)

Team strength (Elo)

1397

Opponent strength

1478

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.0M – €2.9M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-161 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -63% to -23%).

• ▲Small sample: 872 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.