
Thomas Strakosha
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Thomas Strakosha's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 39
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2340 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 80 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1512
- Opponent strength
- 1220
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €969k – €2.3M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -68% to -29%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–179%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 26 | 2340 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1220 | 1512 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 23 | 2070 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1241 | 1450 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Brentford FC | Premier League | GK | 2 | 135 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1636 | 1500 | 1.14 |
| 2021/22 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | GK | 23 | 2070 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1453 | 1561 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | GK | 9 | 810 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1445 | 1548 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1428 | 1557 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | GK | 35 | 3150 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1459 | 1467 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1468 | 1597 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | GK | 21 | 1845 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1441 | 1537 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 6 | 570 | 0 | 0 | 1450 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1699 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1525 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Supercoppa Italiana | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1756 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 5 | 480 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1579 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1504 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Supercoppa Italiana | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1814 |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mert Günok Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €4.0M | €900k | fell |
| Jack Butland Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Eiji Kawashima Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Anthony Moris Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Craig Gordon Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 34 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Roberto Super League 1 · 2016 | 30 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Lars Unnerstall Eredivisie · 2024 | 34 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Simon Mignolet Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 34 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2024 | Brentford | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 14 Jul 2022 | Lazio | Brentford | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Salernitana | Lazio | Free / loan | €300k |
| 17 Jul 2015 | Lazio | Salernitana | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Jan 2013 | Lazio U19 | Lazio | Unknown | €75k |
| 9 Aug 2012 | Panionios U20 | Lazio U19 | €75k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Panionios U17 | Panionios U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | APOEL U21 | Panionios U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.