Thomas Strakosha

31 yrs · Goalkeeper · Albania
Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 193 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€824k – €3.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.5M – €7.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€969k – €2.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.3M – €6.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€824k – €3.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €7.4M
Projected value (24 months)€969k – €2.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Thomas Strakosha's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 39

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh79.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.8M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-46% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €25.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2340 (100% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1512
Opponent strength
1220
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€969k – €2.3M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -68% to -29%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (all positions)
Relative output kept
63%–179%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1GK262340100%000.000.00122015120.43
2024/25Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1GK23207088%000.000.00124114500.35
2023/24Brentford FCPremier LeagueGK21354%000.000.00163615001.14
2021/22Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie AGK23207061%000.000.00145315610.89
2020/21Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie AGK981024%000.000.00144515480.90
2019/20Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie AGK383420100%000.000.00142815570.82
2018/19Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie AGK35315092%000.000.00145914670.78
2017/18Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie AGK383420100%000.000.00146815970.86
2016/17Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie AGK21184554%000.000.00144115370.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos6570001450
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos4360001332
2024/25Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos218000—
2023/24Fa CupBrentford FC221000—
2022/23Fa CupBrentford FC19000—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.8720001501
2020/21Italy CupSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.19000—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.190001699
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.4360001525
2019/20Italy CupSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.19000—
2019/20Supercoppa ItalianaSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.190001756
2018/19Italy CupSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.548000—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.4360001579
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.10900001504
2017/18Italy CupSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.439000—
2017/18Supercoppa ItalianaSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.190001814
2016/17Italy CupSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.436000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mert Günok
Super Lig · 2020
31€4.0M€900kfell
Jack Butland
Scottish Premiership · 2024
31€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Eiji Kawashima
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
31€3.0M€1.0Mfell
Anthony Moris
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
32€1.5M€2.0Mrose
Craig Gordon
Scottish Premiership · 2016
34€1.5M€2.5Mrose
Roberto
Super League 1 · 2016
30€5.0M€2.0Mfell
Lars Unnerstall
Eredivisie · 2024
34€3.5M€1.0Mfell
Simon Mignolet
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
34€3.5M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Jul 2024BrentfordAEK AthensFree / loan€3.0M
14 Jul 2022LazioBrentfordFree / loan€7.0M
30 Jun 2016SalernitanaLazioFree / loan€300k
17 Jul 2015LazioSalernitanaFree / loan€300k
31 Jan 2013Lazio U19LazioUnknown€75k
9 Aug 2012Panionios U20Lazio U19€75kData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Panionios U17Panionios U20UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010APOEL U21Panionios U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.