Simon Mignolet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Simon Mignolet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 68.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 38.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €706k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 855 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1394
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €349k – €947k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 67 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -76% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 855 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 214 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–140%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 10 | 855 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1394 | 1589 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 30 | 2670 | 99% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1366 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 28 | 2440 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1377 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1298 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1329 | 1512 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1339 | 1570 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 27 | 2430 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1380 | 1578 | 0.63 |
| 2017/18 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 19 | 1710 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1528 | 1779 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 28 | 2520 | 74% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1541 | 1666 | 1.07 |
| 2015/16 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1531 | 1639 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 36 | 3224 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1531 | 1589 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1535 | 1745 | 1.12 |
| 2012/13 | Sunderland AFC | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1531 | 1461 | 1.07 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1449 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 1614 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 1080 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2024/25 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1395 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2022/23 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1420 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1725 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1616 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1504 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1644 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1666 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Liverpool FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Liverpool FC | 15 | 1350 | 0 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Liverpool FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1598 |
| 2012/13 | Fa Cup | Sunderland AFC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Mirante Serie A · 2019 | 36 | €800k | €1.0M | rose |
| Oleksandr Goryainov Premier Liga · 2014 | 39 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Steve Mandanda Ligue 1 · 2022 | 37 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Iker Casillas Liga Portugal · 2018 | 37 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Artem Rebrov Premier Liga · 2018 | 34 | €800k | €200k | fell |
| Carlos Kameni Super Lig · 2018 | 34 | €450k | €100k | fell |
| Júlio César Liga Portugal · 2017 | 38 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Yohann Pelé Ligue 1 · 2018 | 36 | €500k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Club Brugge | Retired | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 5 Aug 2019 | Liverpool | Club Brugge | €7.0M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Sunderland | Liverpool | €10.6M | €5.5M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Sint-Truiden | Sunderland | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2006 | St.Truiden U21 | Sint-Truiden | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | St. Truiden U17 | St.Truiden U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.