Pere Milla

34 yrs · Left winger (also ST) · Spain
RCD Espanyol Barcelona · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€267k – €828k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€890k – €1.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€298k – €868k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€63k – €1.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€267k – €828k
Model value (performance-implied)€890k – €1.6M
Projected value (24 months)€298k – €868k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Pere Milla's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1988 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average60.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €355k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-52% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1988 (58% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.36
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1399
Opponent strength
1460
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€298k – €868k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -68% to -33%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26RCD Espanyol BarcelonaLaligaLW33198858%710.360.41146013990.95
2024/25RCD Espanyol BarcelonaLaligaLW2044313%300.610.61150414110.95
2022/23Elche CFLaligaLW31187355%610.340.57151213530.98
2021/22Elche CFLaligaLW32163948%830.600.70156014211.05
2020/21Elche CFLaligaST31193757%430.330.48152914111.10
2018/19SD EibarLaligaLW534510%000.000.37154115311.14

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Copa Del ReyRCD Espanyol Barcelona210300—
2022/23Copa Del ReyElche CF28310—
2021/22Copa Del ReyElche CF431100—
2018/19Copa Del ReySD Eibar213500—
2014/15Copa Del ReyGetafe CF14700—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alberto Gilardino
Serie A · 2016
34€1.0M€200kfell
Simon Zoller
Bundesliga · 2023
32€1.1M€300kfell
Giampaolo Pazzini
Serie A · 2016
32€2.0M€800kfell
Goran Pandev
Serie A · 2018
35€500k€325kfell
Ola Toivonen
Ligue 1 · 2017
31€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Alessandro Matri
Serie A · 2017
33€900k€300kfell
Sergio Floccari
Serie A · 2016
35€500k€300kfell
Florian Thauvin
Serie A · 2024
31€3.0M€5.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
15 Aug 2023Elche CFEspanyol€3.0M€3.0M
1 Jul 2019SD EibarElche CFFree / loan€700k
30 Jun 2018CD NumanciaSD EibarFree / loan€800k
6 Jul 2017SD EibarCD NumanciaFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2017UCAM MurciaSD EibarFree / loan€300k
2 Aug 2016SD EibarUCAM MurciaFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2016UD LogroñésSD EibarFree / loanData unavailable
20 Jul 2015Getafe CF BUD LogroñésFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Lleida EsportiuGetafe CF BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Lleida U19Lleida EsportiuUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.