
Younes Namli
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Younes Namli's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.20x the positional average in the league (1377 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 51
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 26.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €468k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1377 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.46
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1227
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €298k – €773k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -42%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1377 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 13 | 1056 | 35% | 2 | 4 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 1273 | 1186 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | RW | 12 | 321 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 1495 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 18 | 1120 | 37% | 4 | 2 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 1289 | 1265 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 30 | 2575 | 84% | 4 | 8 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 1370 | 1189 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 26 | 1455 | 48% | 1 | 5 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 1335 | 1394 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 14 | 869 | 28% | 1 | 4 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 1302 | 1295 | 0.60 |
| 2019/20 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | LW | 10 | 437 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 1376 | 1465 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | AM | 33 | 2695 | 88% | 4 | 7 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 1370 | 1271 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 2808 | 92% | 5 | 6 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 1329 | 1268 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 18 | 922 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1341 | 1266 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 3 | 53 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1265 | 1312 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | LW | 11 | 285 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 1289 | 1367 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FK Krasnodar | 3 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 1629 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FK Krasnodar | 4 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 241 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 286 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 203 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Oddset Pokalen | Akademisk Boldklub | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasper Kusk Superliga · 2023 | 32 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Bruno Moreira Liga Portugal · 2018 | 31 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Artem Kravets Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €475k | €250k | fell |
| Mirnes Sisic Super League 1 · 2013 | 32 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Luciano Narsingh Eredivisie · 2021 | 31 | €850k | €250k | fell |
| Zequinha Liga Portugal · 2017 | 30 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Marius Niculae Premier Liga · 2014 | 33 | €650k | €300k | fell |
| Emrah Başsan Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €700k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | Le Havre AC | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 6 Aug 2025 | PEC Zwolle | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 9 Sept 2024 | Without Club | PEC Zwolle | Unknown | €1.6M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | PEC Zwolle | Without Club | Unknown | €1.6M |
| 21 Jul 2023 | Sparta R. | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €900k |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Krasnodar | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Sparta R. | Krasnodar | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 11 Jan 2022 | Krasnodar | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Colorado | Krasnodar | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 15 Jan 2020 | Krasnodar | Colorado | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PEC Zwolle | Krasnodar | €2.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €900k |
| 2 Jan 2015 | Akademisk BK | Heerenveen | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AB U19 | Akademisk BK | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | AB Youth | AB U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Skovlunde IF | AB Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Bröndby Youth | Skovlunde IF | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Skovlunde IF | Bröndby Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.