Younes Namli

32 yrs · Right winger (also AM, LW) · Denmark
PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€261k – €859k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€308k – €842k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€298k – €773k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€550k – €581k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€261k – €859k
Model value (performance-implied)€308k – €842k
Projected value (24 months)€298k – €773k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Younes Namli's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.20x the positional average in the league (1377 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 51

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average26.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €468k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-50% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1377 (45% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.46
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.47
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
26 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1227
Opponent strength
1273
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€298k – €773k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -42%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1377 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW13105635%240.510.47127311860.43
2025/26Le Havre ACLigue 1RW1232110%010.280.46149513610.88
2024/25PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW18112037%420.480.55128912650.50
2023/24PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW30257584%480.420.55137011890.48
2022/23Sparta RotterdamEredivisieRW26145548%150.370.35133513940.58
2021/22Sparta RotterdamEredivisieRW1486928%140.520.54130212950.60
2019/20FK KrasnodarPremier LigaLW1043716%110.410.32137614650.63
2018/19PEC ZwolleEredivisieAM33269588%470.370.38137012710.61
2017/18PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW32280892%560.350.33132912680.59
2016/17SC HeerenveenEredivisieAM1892230%000.000.17134112660.54
2015/16SC HeerenveenEredivisieAM3532%000.000.31126513120.58
2014/15SC HeerenveenEredivisieLW112859%010.320.29128913670.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle19000—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingFK Krasnodar3183001629
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueFK Krasnodar4161001601
2019/20Russian CupFK Krasnodar19000—
2018/19Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle324102—
2017/18Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle428621—
2016/17Knvb BekerSC Heerenveen320320—
2014/15Oddset PokalenAkademisk Boldklub13300—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kasper Kusk
Superliga · 2023
32€500k€300kfell
Bruno Moreira
Liga Portugal · 2018
31€700k€400kfell
Artem Kravets
Super Lig · 2020
31€475k€250kfell
Mirnes Sisic
Super League 1 · 2013
32€500k€300kfell
Luciano Narsingh
Eredivisie · 2021
31€850k€250kfell
Zequinha
Liga Portugal · 2017
30€500k€200kfell
Marius Niculae
Premier Liga · 2014
33€650k€300kfell
Emrah Başsan
Super Lig · 2024
32€700k€200kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
6 Jan 2026Le Havre ACPEC ZwolleFree / loan€1.0M
6 Aug 2025PEC ZwolleLe Havre ACFree / loan€1.3M
9 Sept 2024Without ClubPEC ZwolleUnknown€1.6M
1 Jul 2024PEC ZwolleWithout ClubUnknown€1.6M
21 Jul 2023Sparta R.PEC ZwolleFree / loan€900k
11 Jul 2022KrasnodarSparta R.Free / loan€1.2M
30 Jun 2022Sparta R.KrasnodarFree / loan€1.2M
11 Jan 2022KrasnodarSparta R.Free / loan€1.5M
31 Dec 2021ColoradoKrasnodarFree / loan€1.5M
15 Jan 2020KrasnodarColoradoFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2019PEC ZwolleKrasnodar€2.0M€3.0M
1 Jul 2017HeerenveenPEC ZwolleFree / loan€900k
2 Jan 2015Akademisk BKHeerenveenUnknown€250k
1 Jul 2013AB U19Akademisk BKUnknown€25k
1 Jul 2011AB YouthAB U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Skovlunde IFAB YouthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Bröndby YouthSkovlunde IFFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Skovlunde IFBröndby YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.