Igor Vujacic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Igor Vujacic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €2.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -69% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2250 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1339
- Opponent strength
- 1337
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €668k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 162% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -60% (IQR -78% to -48%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | CB | 25 | 2250 | 83% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1337 | 1339 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | CB | 27 | 2372 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1297 | 1322 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | CB | 28 | 2520 | 93% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1338 | 1271 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 5 | 332 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 8 | 414 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 4 | 185 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gia Grigalava Premier Liga · 2020 | 31 | €2.0M | €450k | fell |
| Georgios Tzavellas Super Lig · 2019 | 32 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Andrey Semenov Premier Liga · 2020 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Joris Mathijsen Eredivisie · 2013 | 33 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Gonçalo Brandão Liga Portugal · 2016 | 30 | €1.3M | €150k | fell |
| Dusko Tosic Super Lig · 2015 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Toni Sunjic Premier Liga · 2019 | 31 | €2.0M | €950k | fell |
| Yohan Tavares Liga Portugal · 2016 | 28 | €2.8M | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2023 | Partizan | Rubin Kazan | €1.0M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Zeta Golubovac | Partizan | Free / loan | €325k |
| 22 Dec 2014 | Mogren | Zeta Golubovac | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Aug 2014 | Widzew Lodz | Mogren | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Apr 2014 | Without Club | Widzew Lodz | Unknown | €150k |
| 25 Jan 2014 | Vojvodina | Without Club | Unknown | €150k |
| 8 Feb 2013 | Zeta Golubovac | Vojvodina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Golubovac U19 | Zeta Golubovac | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.