Brandley Kuwas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Brandley Kuwas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.53x the positional average in the league (2024 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 14.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €141k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2024 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.60
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1101
- Opponent strength
- 1328
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €102k – €247k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -61% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 2024 | 66% | 5 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 1328 | 1101 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | Giresunspor | Super Lig | AM | 27 | 1288 | 40% | 1 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 1306 | 1233 | 0.50 |
| 2018/19 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 33 | 2707 | 88% | 10 | 11 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 1351 | 1302 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 30 | 2495 | 82% | 6 | 15 | 0.76 | 0.63 | 1315 | 1304 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 2355 | 77% | 6 | 9 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 1353 | 1303 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 34 | 2523 | 82% | 4 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.40 | 1321 | 1206 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 3 | 270 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Curaçao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5 | 287 | 0 | 1 | 1355 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 116 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 3 | 276 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | 1345 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Rotterdam | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlitos Super League 1 · 2024 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Nikolaos Kaltsas Super League 1 · 2024 | 34 | €300k | €125k | fell |
| Thierry Moutinho Super League 1 · 2023 | 32 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Ilhan Parlak Super Lig · 2021 | 34 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Abiola Dauda Super League 1 · 2021 | 33 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Quincy Antipas Superliga · 2018 | 34 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Tobias Thomsen Superliga · 2024 | 32 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Daryl van Mieghem Eredivisie · 2023 | 34 | €500k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FC Volendam | Without Club | Unknown | €250k |
| 6 Sept 2024 | Without Club | FC Volendam | Unknown | €350k |
| 11 Dec 2023 | Giresunspor | Without Club | Unknown | €450k |
| 5 Sept 2022 | M. Tel Aviv | Giresunspor | Free / loan | €700k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Al-Nasr | M. Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Al-Jazira | Al-Nasr | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Al-Nasr | Al-Jazira | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Heracles Almelo | Al-Nasr | €2.5M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Excelsior | Heracles Almelo | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Volendam | Excelsior | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | KFC | FC Volendam | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Hellas Sport Yth | KFC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | Hellas Sport Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Hellas Sport Yth | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.