
Antonio Sanabria
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antonio Sanabria's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-3.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (940 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 16
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 49.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 940 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.53
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1299
- Opponent strength
- 1500
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €660k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-159 Elo); relative output up 60% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -63% to -25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 940 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Cremonese | Serie A | ST | 25 | 940 | 27% | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.53 | 1500 | 1299 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Torino FC | Serie A | ST | 26 | 1319 | 39% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.35 | 1497 | 1458 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Torino FC | Serie A | ST | 35 | 2133 | 62% | 5 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 1468 | 1510 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Torino FC | Serie A | ST | 33 | 2443 | 71% | 12 | 4 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 1477 | 1468 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Torino FC | Serie A | ST | 29 | 1812 | 53% | 6 | 5 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 1458 | 1423 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Torino FC | Serie A | ST | 14 | 983 | 29% | 5 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 1479 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2020/21 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 16 | 935 | 27% | 3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.50 | 1583 | 1557 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 24 | 1392 | 41% | 6 | 3 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 1446 | 1324 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 15 | 808 | 24% | 2 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 1513 | 1510 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 15 | 764 | 22% | 3 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 1428 | 1322 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 17 | 847 | 25% | 8 | 0 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 1534 | 1522 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 22 | 1498 | 44% | 4 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.45 | 1555 | 1419 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Sporting Gijón | Laliga | ST | 29 | 2255 | 66% | 11 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 1565 | 1465 | 1.17 |
| 2014/15 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | ST | 2 | 33 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1348 | 1574 | 0.93 |
| 2013/14 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | ST | 2 | 35 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 1431 | 1334 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Paraguay | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 167 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 237 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 4 | 218 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 5 | 343 | 2 | 2 | 1489 |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 3 | 232 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 2 | 154 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Sporting Gijón | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Shelton Premier Liga · 2014 | 29 | €1.9M | €1.4M | fell |
| Opa Nguette Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Kenan Karaman Bundesliga · 2023 | 29 | €1.4M | €1.4M | flat |
| Anthony Le Tallec Ligue 1 · 2014 | 30 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Andrey Galabinov Serie A · 2018 | 30 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Sory Kaba Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nenê Serie A · 2014 | 31 | €1.2M | €350k | fell |
| Youcef Belaïli Ligue 1 · 2022 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2025 | Torino | Cremonese | €2.5M | €2.8M |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Real Betis | Torino | €6.5M | €6.5M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Genoa | Real Betis | Free / loan | €6.5M |
| 26 Jan 2019 | Real Betis | Genoa | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 15 Jul 2016 | Roma | Real Betis | €7.5M | €7.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Sporting Gijón | Roma | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 11 Aug 2015 | Roma | Sporting Gijón | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Sassuolo | Roma | €6.2M | €4.5M |
| 29 Jan 2014 | Barcelona B | Sassuolo | €5.7M | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Barça U19 | Barcelona B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Barça U16 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.