
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Panagiotis Deligiannidis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 76
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €229k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1275 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1132
- Opponent strength
- 1265
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €205k – €405k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; changed club; league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -50% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1275 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | RB | 12 | 798 | 34% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 1265 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 7 | 477 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1337 | 1138 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | RB | 24 | 1829 | 78% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1279 | 1141 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | RB | 20 | 1587 | 68% | 3 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 1247 | 1189 | 0.42 |
| 2018/19 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | RB | 9 | 632 | 23% | 2 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 1305 | 1174 | 0.43 |
| 2016/17 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LM | 2 | 147 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1239 | 1462 | 0.44 |
| 2014/15 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1297 | 1384 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 2 | 109 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 2 | 178 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 432 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1333 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Malón Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Jamie Hamill Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 29 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Georgios Mygas Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Federico Álvarez Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Georgios Sarris Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 29 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Athanasios Panteliadis Super League 1 · 2019 | 32 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Jack Baldwin Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 30 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Daniel Granli Superliga · 2023 | 29 | €450k | €450k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | AE Larisa | Asteras Aktor | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Panserraikos | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €450k |
| 14 Jul 2022 | Xanthi | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €250k |
| 25 Jul 2021 | Without Club | Xanthi | Unknown | €400k |
| 22 Apr 2021 | Sepsi OSK | Without Club | Unknown | €400k |
| 12 Aug 2020 | OFI Crete | Sepsi OSK | €50k | €250k |
| 24 Jul 2019 | PAOK | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | OFI Crete | PAOK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PAOK | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Michalovce | PAOK | Free / loan | €100k |
| 26 Feb 2016 | PAOK | Michalovce | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | PAOK U20 | PAOK | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bebides 2000 | PAOK U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.