Panagiotis Deligiannidis

30 yrs · Right-back (also LM) · Greece
Athlitiki Enosi Larisas · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€450k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€99k – €555k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€254k – €425k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€205k – €405k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€301k – €326k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€99k – €555k
Model value (performance-implied)€254k – €425k
Projected value (24 months)€205k – €405k
Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Panagiotis Deligiannidis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 76

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average6.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €229k vs market €450k
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €450k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1275 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
6 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1132
Opponent strength
1265
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€205k – €405k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; changed club; league level up (+40 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -50% to -10%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1275 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Athlitiki Enosi LarisasSuper League 1RB1279834%010.110.18126511290.43
2025/26A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1RB747720%000.000.14133711380.43
2024/25Panserraikos SerresSuper League 1RB24182978%120.150.16127911410.35
2023/24Panserraikos SerresSuper League 1RB20158768%300.170.22124711890.42
2018/19Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1RB963223%200.280.33130511740.43
2016/17Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LM21475%000.000.17123914620.44
2014/15Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1RB130%000.000.09129713840.44

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Larisas215600—
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanserraikos Serres17600—
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanserraikos Serres210900—
2018/19Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC217800—
2017/18Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton543200—
2016/17Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton218012—
2015/16Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton18500—
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton114001333

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Iván Malón
Super League 1 · 2017
31€300k€150kfell
Jamie Hamill
Scottish Premiership · 2015
29€500k€250kfell
Georgios Mygas
Super League 1 · 2024
30€300k€250kflat
Federico Álvarez
Super League 1 · 2024
30€500k€500kflat
Georgios Sarris
Scottish Premiership · 2018
29€400k€150kfell
Athanasios Panteliadis
Super League 1 · 2019
32€300k€150kfell
Jack Baldwin
Scottish Premiership · 2023
30€400k€350kflat
Daniel Granli
Superliga · 2023
29€450k€450kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
21 Jan 2026AE LarisaAsteras AktorFree / loan€450k
1 Jul 2025PanserraikosAE LarisaFree / loan€450k
14 Jul 2022XanthiPanserraikosFree / loan€250k
25 Jul 2021Without ClubXanthiUnknown€400k
22 Apr 2021Sepsi OSKWithout ClubUnknown€400k
12 Aug 2020OFI CreteSepsi OSK€50k€250k
24 Jul 2019PAOKOFI CreteFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2019OFI CretePAOKFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2018PAOKOFI CreteFree / loan€350k
30 Jun 2016MichalovcePAOKFree / loan€100k
26 Feb 2016PAOKMichalovceFree / loan€150k
1 Jul 2014PAOK U20PAOKUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2012Bebides 2000PAOK U20Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.