Georgios Mygas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Georgios Mygas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 83
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €75k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1281 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1255
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €84k – €250k
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 110% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -53% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1281 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | RB | 23 | 1281 | 55% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 1255 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | RB | 22 | 1585 | 68% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1295 | 1069 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | RB | 16 | 1099 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 1251 | 1144 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Ionikos Nikeas | Super League 1 | RB | 22 | 1953 | 83% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1239 | 1123 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Ionikos Nikeas | Super League 1 | RB | 22 | 1817 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1245 | 1198 | 0.39 |
| 2017/18 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 788 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1275 | 1223 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 21 | 1787 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1303 | 1194 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 19 | 1667 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1318 | 1238 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 19 | 831 | 27% | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 1315 | 1301 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 197 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1332 | 1292 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 5 | 371 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Ionikos Nikeas | 2 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 2 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 4 | 357 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hämäläinen Superliga · 2021 | 32 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Athanasios Papageorgiou Super League 1 · 2020 | 33 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Athanasios Panteliadis Super League 1 · 2019 | 32 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Mathieu Gomes Super League 1 · 2017 | 32 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Jeppe Brandrup Superliga · 2018 | 33 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Antonio Luna Super League 1 · 2024 | 33 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Strahil Popov Super Lig · 2023 | 33 | €225k | €150k | fell |
| Hasan Hatipoglu Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €200k | €75k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Ionikos Nikea | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Levadiakos | Ionikos Nikea | Free / loan | €350k |
| 6 Feb 2020 | Without Club | Levadiakos | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Z. Sosnowiec | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 12 Jan 2019 | Panetolikos | Z. Sosnowiec | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Panetolikos U20 | Panetolikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.