
Florent Hadergjonaj
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Florent Hadergjonaj's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.71x the positional average in the league (2212 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 55th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €568k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2212 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.65
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.38
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1229
- Opponent strength
- 1261
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €470k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: role change RB -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -68% to -29%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | RM | 29 | 2212 | 72% | 6 | 10 | 0.65 | 0.38 | 1261 | 1229 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | RB | 33 | 2815 | 87% | 4 | 5 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 1298 | 1247 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | RB | 31 | 2319 | 68% | 2 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1284 | 1313 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | RB | 25 | 2021 | 62% | 3 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 1282 | 1295 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | RB | 33 | 2957 | 86% | 2 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1260 | 1312 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | RB | 36 | 3185 | 88% | 2 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1282 | 1208 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | RB | 13 | 1142 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1315 | 1273 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Huddersfield Town | Premier League | RB | 24 | 1841 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1526 | 1321 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Huddersfield Town | Premier League | RB | 23 | 1671 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 1558 | 1409 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Bundesliga | RB | 25 | 2223 | 73% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 1550 | 1401 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Huddersfield Town | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Huddersfield Town | 3 | 234 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | BSC Young Boys | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1603 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandru Maxim Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Fayçal Fajr Super Lig · 2022 | 34 | €1.8M | €1.3M | fell |
| Fredy Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Hakan Arslan Super Lig · 2020 | 32 | €1.2M | €850k | fell |
| Grigoris Makos Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Thom Haye Eredivisie · 2024 | 29 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Valentin Eysseric Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Benjamin Stambouli Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2023 | Kasimpasa | Alanyaspor | Free / loan | €3.1M |
| 25 Sept 2020 | Huddersfield | Kasimpasa | Unknown | €3.5M |
| 3 Aug 2020 | Kasimpasa | Huddersfield | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Huddersfield | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Ingolstadt | Huddersfield | €5.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Huddersfield | FC Ingolstadt | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 24 Aug 2017 | FC Ingolstadt | Huddersfield | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 8 Aug 2016 | Young Boys | FC Ingolstadt | €2.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jan 2014 | BSC YB U21 | Young Boys | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | BSC YB U18 | BSC YB U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Luzern U18 | BSC YB U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Luzern U17 | Luzern U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2010 | FC Thun Youth | Luzern U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.