
Simone Scuffet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Simone Scuffet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-2.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 46.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €582k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 630 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1516
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €368k – €913k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; changed club; team strength down (-129 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -58% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 630 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Pisa Sporting Club | Serie A | GK | 7 | 630 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1516 | 1260 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | GK | 13 | 1170 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1506 | 1368 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1610 | 1660 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | GK | 31 | 2790 | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1477 | 1349 | 0.98 |
| 2020/21 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1685 | 1387 | 0.90 |
| 2018/19 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | GK | 10 | 872 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1409 | 1259 | 0.58 |
| 2018/19 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | GK | 9 | 810 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1499 | 1355 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | GK | 6 | 540 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1483 | 1339 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | GK | 6 | 461 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1415 | 1379 | 0.88 |
| 2014/15 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | GK | 2 | 152 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1363 | 1370 | 0.93 |
| 2013/14 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | GK | 16 | 1440 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1473 | 1419 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Pisa Sporting Club | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 330 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bicik Super Lig · 2013 | 32 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Federico Agliardi Serie A · 2015 | 32 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Ivan Pelizzoli Serie A · 2013 | 33 | €700k | €75k | fell |
| Andreas Linde Bundesliga · 2022 | 29 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Jeroen Zoet Serie A · 2022 | 31 | €850k | €400k | fell |
| Mauro Goicoechea Ligue 1 · 2019 | 31 | €800k | €250k | fell |
| Mark Bunn Premier League · 2016 | 32 | €750k | €500k | fell |
| Pietro Terracciano Serie A · 2019 | 29 | €800k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | Cagliari | Pisa | €900k | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Napoli | Cagliari | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Cagliari | Napoli | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 14 Jul 2023 | CFR Cluj | Cagliari | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 17 Jul 2022 | APOEL Nicosia | CFR Cluj | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Udinese | APOEL Nicosia | €300k | €800k |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Spezia Calcio | Udinese | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 19 Aug 2019 | Udinese | Spezia Calcio | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Kasimpasa | Udinese | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 16 Jan 2019 | Udinese | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Como | Udinese | Free / loan | €4.4M |
| 6 Aug 2015 | Udinese | Como | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Udinese U19 | Udinese | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Udinese U17 | Udinese U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Udinese Youth | Udinese U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.