Simone Scuffet

30 yrs · Goalkeeper · Italy
Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 193 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€900k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€268k – €1.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€449k – €2.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€368k – €913k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€608k – €2.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€268k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€449k – €2.7M
Projected value (24 months)€368k – €913k
Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Simone Scuffet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-2.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage46.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €582k vs market €900k
Expected appreciationVery low-32% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
630 (18% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
47 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1260
Opponent strength
1516
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€368k – €913k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; changed club; team strength down (-129 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -58% to -31%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 630 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Pisa Sporting ClubSerie AGK763018%000.000.00151612600.93
2024/25Cagliari CalcioSerie AGK13117034%000.000.01150613680.99
2024/25SSC NapoliSerie AGK1903%000.000.01161016600.99
2023/24Cagliari CalcioSerie AGK31279082%000.000.00147713490.98
2020/21Udinese CalcioSerie AGK1903%000.000.00168513870.90
2018/19KasimpasaSuper LigGK1087228%000.000.00140912590.58
2018/19Udinese CalcioSerie AGK981024%000.000.00149913550.78
2017/18Udinese CalcioSerie AGK654016%000.000.00148313390.86
2016/17Udinese CalcioSerie AGK646113%000.000.01141513790.88
2014/15Udinese CalcioSerie AGK21524%000.000.00136313700.93
2013/14Udinese CalcioSerie AGK16144042%000.000.00147314190.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupPisa Sporting Club19000—
2024/25Italy CupCagliari Calcio218000—
2020/21Italy CupUdinese Calcio19000—
2017/18Italy CupUdinese Calcio327000—
2014/15Italy CupUdinese Calcio333000—
2013/14Italy CupUdinese Calcio218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
David Bicik
Super Lig · 2013
32€800k€600kfell
Federico Agliardi
Serie A · 2015
32€600k€300kfell
Ivan Pelizzoli
Serie A · 2013
33€700k€75kfell
Andreas Linde
Bundesliga · 2022
29€900k€600kfell
Jeroen Zoet
Serie A · 2022
31€850k€400kfell
Mauro Goicoechea
Ligue 1 · 2019
31€800k€250kfell
Mark Bunn
Premier League · 2016
32€750k€500kfell
Pietro Terracciano
Serie A · 2019
29€800k€800kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2025CagliariPisa€900k€2.0M
30 Jun 2025NapoliCagliariFree / loan€2.0M
7 Jan 2025CagliariNapoliFree / loan€2.0M
14 Jul 2023CFR ClujCagliari€2.0M€2.0M
17 Jul 2022APOEL NicosiaCFR ClujFree / loan€600k
30 Aug 2021UdineseAPOEL Nicosia€300k€800k
31 Aug 2020Spezia CalcioUdineseFree / loan€1.2M
19 Aug 2019UdineseSpezia CalcioFree / loan€1.8M
30 Jun 2019KasimpasaUdineseFree / loan€1.8M
16 Jan 2019UdineseKasimpasaFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2016ComoUdineseFree / loan€4.4M
6 Aug 2015UdineseComoFree / loan€5.5M
1 Jul 2013Udinese U19UdineseUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2012Udinese U17Udinese U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Udinese YouthUdinese U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.