Jeroen Zoet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jeroen Zoet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 49.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €97k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 918 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1393
- Opponent strength
- 1265
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €124k – €249k
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-73 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -56% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 918 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 217 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 70%–152%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | GK | 11 | 918 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 1265 | 1393 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | GK | 6 | 540 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1323 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | Spezia Calcio | Serie A | GK | 5 | 334 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1442 | 1310 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Spezia Calcio | Serie A | GK | 7 | 630 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1472 | 1319 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Spezia Calcio | Serie A | GK | 7 | 604 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1436 | 1363 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 11 | 990 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1367 | 1553 | 0.62 |
| 2019/20 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | GK | 7 | 630 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1268 | 1418 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1336 | 1634 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 32 | 2879 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1314 | 1636 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 31 | 2790 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1338 | 1609 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1302 | 1658 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1335 | 1545 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | GK | 29 | 2572 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1340 | 1460 | 0.59 |
| 2012/13 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | GK | 33 | 2963 | 97% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1363 | 1259 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1617 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Spezia Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Spezia Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1546 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1586 |
| 2019/20 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1746 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1731 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1429 |
| 2018/19 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1363 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1721 |
| 2016/17 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1452 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 750 | 0 | 0 | 1716 |
| 2015/16 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1328 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1362 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1541 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1450 |
| 2012/13 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Kotsolis Super League 1 · 2014 | 35 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Ryan Esson Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 35 | €200k | €125k | fell |
| Colin Doyle Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 34 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Igor Lytovka Premier Liga · 2021 | 33 | €200k | €125k | fell |
| Jon McLaughlin Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 36 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Jugoslav Lazic Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 34 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Matías Dituro Super Lig · 2024 | 37 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Anton Kochenkov Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €500k | €225k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2024 | Spezia Calcio | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €400k |
| 8 Sept 2020 | PSV | Spezia Calcio | €1.5M | €5.5M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Utrecht | PSV | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 14 Jan 2020 | PSV | Utrecht | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2013 | RKC Waalwijk | PSV | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | PSV | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2009 | PSV U21 | PSV | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | PSV U19 | PSV U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | PSV U17 | PSV U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Veendam Youth | PSV U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.