Przemyslaw Frankowski
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Przemyslaw Frankowski's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-4.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-4.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-3.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1217 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.2M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -69% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1217 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 72 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1520
- Opponent strength
- 1468
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €3.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 27 pts; changed club; league level up (+73 Elo); role change RB -> RM; relative output down 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -64% (IQR -84% to -30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1217 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RM | 19 | 1217 | 40% | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 1468 | 1520 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | RB | 18 | 1389 | 45% | 4 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 1433 | 1484 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RB | 12 | 784 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1295 | 1557 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | RM | 30 | 2193 | 72% | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 1463 | 1518 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | RM | 37 | 2840 | 83% | 5 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 1441 | 1626 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | LM | 37 | 2453 | 72% | 6 | 5 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 1439 | 1492 | 0.86 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RC Lens | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1442 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | RC Lens | 6 | 528 | 1 | 2 | 1665 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | RC Lens | 2 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 1511 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moubarak Boussoufa Premier Liga · 2015 | 31 | €6.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Adrien Thomasson Ligue 1 · 2024 | 31 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Gaël Kakuta Ligue 1 · 2022 | 31 | €7.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Álvaro González Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Flavien Tait Ligue 1 · 2023 | 30 | €6.0M | €450k | fell |
| Walter Gargano Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Cristian Super Lig · 2014 | 31 | €8.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Davide Zappacosta Serie A · 2023 | 31 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Stade Rennais | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 5 Aug 2025 | Galatasaray | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Lens | Galatasaray | €7.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Galatasaray | Lens | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Lens | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 5 Aug 2021 | Chicago | Lens | €2.3M | €2.0M |
| 22 Jan 2019 | Jagiellonia | Chicago | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 1 Aug 2014 | Lechia Gdansk | Jagiellonia | €75k | €300k |
| 24 Oct 2012 | Lechia II | Lechia Gdansk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Lechia U19 | Lechia II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.