
Maksym Tretyakov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maksym Tretyakov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (931 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 85
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 3.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €137k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 931 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 4 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1108
- Opponent strength
- 1156
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €108k – €265k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; changed club; team strength down (-78 Elo); role change LW -> RW; relative output down 28% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -70% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 931 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | RW | 11 | 658 | 24% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.35 | 1156 | 1070 | 0.25 |
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LW | 10 | 273 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1117 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LW | 23 | 1543 | 57% | 2 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 1206 | 1186 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | ST | 6 | 185 | 7% | 1 | 0 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 1227 | 1335 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LW | 22 | 1760 | 65% | 7 | 4 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 1266 | 1284 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LW | 17 | 1383 | 85% | 5 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 1319 | 1297 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LW | 22 | 1422 | 61% | 3 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 1309 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LM | 21 | 1640 | 83% | 5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 1347 | 1356 | 0.54 |
| 2017/18 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | RM | 19 | 970 | 49% | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1369 | 1257 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | RM | 20 | 1076 | 37% | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 1434 | 1254 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | Metalist Kharkiv (- 2016) | Premier Liga | RW | 8 | 607 | 26% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.37 | 1326 | 1284 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1414 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1526 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 3 | 217 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Oleksandriya | 6 | 443 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 118 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denys Bezborodko Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Sergiy Bolbat Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Oleg Vyshnevskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Giovanni Sio Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Stevie May Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 32 | €250k | €75k | fell |
| Claudiu Bălan Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Sergiy Myakushko Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €300k | €75k | fell |
| Rostyslav Rusyn Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €125k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka | Obolon | Free / loan | €400k |
| 12 Jul 2024 | SC Dnipro-1 | Kolos Kovalivka | €200k | €500k |
| 10 Jul 2023 | FC Oleksandriya | SC Dnipro-1 | €400k | €800k |
| 19 Aug 2020 | Dunajska Streda | FC Oleksandriya | €100k | €400k |
| 31 Jul 2020 | FC Oleksandriya | Dunajska Streda | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dunajska Streda | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Chornomorets | Dunajska Streda | €100k | €600k |
| 13 Sept 2016 | Dnipro II | Chornomorets | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Metalist Kharkiv | Dnipro II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 17 Feb 2016 | Dnipro II | Metalist Kharkiv | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Dnipro U17 | Dnipro II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.