Wessel Dammers

31 yrs · Centre-back · Netherlands
Randers FC · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€800k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€222k – €805k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€350k – €537k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€316k – €542k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€455k – €316k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€222k – €805k
Model value (performance-implied)€350k – €537k
Projected value (24 months)€316k – €542k
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Wessel Dammers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 52

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average32.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €419k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationVery low-47% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €900k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1935 (98% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
32 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1278
Opponent strength
1266
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€316k – €542k

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo); relative output up 50% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -44% to -29%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
24 (DEF)
Relative output kept
60%–139%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
71%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Randers FCSuperligaCB22193598%120.140.11126612780.47
2024/25Randers FCSuperligaCB21189095%200.100.07130112760.38
2023/24Randers FCSuperligaCB19163182%100.060.07132512540.48
2021/22Willem II TilburgEredivisieCB14125141%110.140.15137012370.60
2021/22FC GroningenEredivisieCB18119439%020.150.12135812700.60
2020/21FC GroningenEredivisieCB27158252%110.110.09136713250.56
2019/20Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieCB1181835%000.000.04134112380.62
2018/19Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieCB17153050%100.060.06135312390.61
2015/16SC Cambuur LeeuwardenEredivisieCB19131343%000.000.03131511480.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Oddset PokalenRanders FC221000—
2023/24Oddset PokalenRanders FC112000—
2022/23Knvb BekerWillem II Tilburg19000—
2021/22Knvb BekerFC Groningen28400—
2020/21Knvb BekerFC Groningen17600—
2019/20Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie17100—
2018/19Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie327000—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam190001627
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam123001381

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Stephen McManus
Scottish Premiership · 2014
32€850k€500kfell
Efe Ambrose
Scottish Premiership · 2018
30€550k€400kfell
Milhazes
Super League 1 · 2014
33€500k€350kfell
Espen Ruud
Superliga · 2013
29€1.0M€600kfell
Lewis Stevenson
Scottish Premiership · 2018
30€500k€350kfell
Mads Justesen
Superliga · 2015
32€350k€150kfell
Guilherme
Super Lig · 2022
32€1.5M€700kfell
Paulo Vinícius
Liga Portugal · 2016
32€1.0M€800kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023Willem IIRanders FCUnknown€600k
24 Aug 2022FC GroningenWillem IIUnknown€600k
30 Jun 2022Willem IIFC GroningenFree / loan€600k
29 Jan 2022FC GroningenWillem IIFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2020Fortuna SittardFC GroningenFree / loan€400k
10 Jul 2017FeyenoordFortuna SittardFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2016SC CambuurFeyenoordFree / loan€350k
25 Aug 2015FeyenoordSC CambuurFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2014Feyenoord U19FeyenoordUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Feyenoord U17Feyenoord U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Feyenoord YouthFeyenoord U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Wessel Dammers · MoneyballAI