
Wessel Dammers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Wessel Dammers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 52
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €419k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1935 (98% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1278
- Opponent strength
- 1266
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €316k – €542k
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo); relative output up 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -44% to -29%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Randers FC | Superliga | CB | 22 | 1935 | 98% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 1266 | 1278 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Randers FC | Superliga | CB | 21 | 1890 | 95% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1301 | 1276 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Randers FC | Superliga | CB | 19 | 1631 | 82% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1325 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | CB | 14 | 1251 | 41% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1370 | 1237 | 0.60 |
| 2021/22 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CB | 18 | 1194 | 39% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1358 | 1270 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CB | 27 | 1582 | 52% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 1367 | 1325 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | CB | 11 | 818 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1341 | 1238 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | CB | 17 | 1530 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1353 | 1239 | 0.61 |
| 2015/16 | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden | Eredivisie | CB | 19 | 1313 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1315 | 1148 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Randers FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Randers FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1627 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1381 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McManus Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 32 | €850k | €500k | fell |
| Efe Ambrose Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 30 | €550k | €400k | fell |
| Milhazes Super League 1 · 2014 | 33 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Espen Ruud Superliga · 2013 | 29 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Lewis Stevenson Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 30 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Mads Justesen Superliga · 2015 | 32 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Guilherme Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Paulo Vinícius Liga Portugal · 2016 | 32 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Willem II | Randers FC | Unknown | €600k |
| 24 Aug 2022 | FC Groningen | Willem II | Unknown | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Willem II | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €600k |
| 29 Jan 2022 | FC Groningen | Willem II | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Fortuna Sittard | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €400k |
| 10 Jul 2017 | Feyenoord | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | SC Cambuur | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €350k |
| 25 Aug 2015 | Feyenoord | SC Cambuur | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Feyenoord U19 | Feyenoord | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Feyenoord U17 | Feyenoord U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Feyenoord Youth | Feyenoord U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.