Jemal Tabidze
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jemal Tabidze's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €623k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -44% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2240 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1214
- Opponent strength
- 1354
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €369k – €825k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 28 pts; relative output up 93% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -46% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | CB | 26 | 2240 | 83% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1354 | 1214 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | CB | 19 | 1492 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1336 | 1233 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | CB | 1 | 67 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1467 | 1147 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | FK Ufa | Premier Liga | CB | 22 | 1818 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1338 | 1271 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FK Ufa | Premier Liga | CB | 25 | 2227 | 82% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 1394 | 1333 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | FK Ufa | Premier Liga | CB | 13 | 1042 | 39% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1407 | 1318 | 0.69 |
| 2017/18 | FK Ufa | Premier Liga | CB | 20 | 1619 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1421 | 1403 | 0.75 |
| 2016/17 | Ural Yekaterinburg | Premier Liga | CB | 3 | 217 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1453 | 1286 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 7 | 355 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1337 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | FK Ufa | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FK Ufa | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Ufa | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1390 |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | FK Ufa | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | FK Ufa | 1 | 58 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Russian Cup | Ural Yekaterinburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robson Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Uros Radakovic Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Sven van Beek Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Andriy Gitchenko Premier Liga · 2015 | 31 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Marat Bystrov Premier Liga · 2022 | 30 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Sergey Bozhin Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €900k | €800k | flat |
| Zoran Nizic Premier Liga · 2021 | 32 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Gökhan Sazdağı Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €1.0M | €1.2M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2024 | Panetolikos | Dinamo Makhach. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 18 Jan 2024 | Without Club | Panetolikos | Unknown | €600k |
| 10 Sept 2023 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Without Club | Unknown | €800k |
| 9 Jul 2022 | KV Kortrijk | Dinamo Tbilisi | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Without Club | KV Kortrijk | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 30 Mar 2022 | Ufa | Without Club | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KAA Gent U21 | Ufa | Unknown | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Ural | KAA Gent U21 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 14 Feb 2017 | KAA Gent U21 | Ural | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Saburtalo | KAA Gent U21 | €100k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.