Sebastián Palacios

The model rates Sebastián Palacios's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.65x the positional average in the league (1909 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1909 (82% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.66

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.65

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

20 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.42 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1260

Opponent strength

1238

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€240k – €559k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -61% to -31%).

• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

19 (ATT)

Relative output kept

99%–112%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

47%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.