Jeff Hardeveld
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jeff Hardeveld's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (2979 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 83
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 28.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €223k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2979 (97% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1216
- Opponent strength
- 1312
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €225k – €406k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -55% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Telstar | Eredivisie | LM | 34 | 2979 | 97% | 6 | 7 | 0.39 | 0.23 | 1312 | 1215 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | FC Emmen | Eredivisie | LB | 6 | 353 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1452 | 1199 | 0.58 |
| 2020/21 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LB | 14 | 939 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1348 | 1303 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LB | 8 | 688 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1362 | 1330 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | CB | 18 | 1540 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1337 | 1304 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 4 | 211 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1347 | 1425 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 15 | 1296 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 1357 | 1289 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Telstar | 5 | 450 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Utrecht | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1282 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Thorsen Superliga · 2020 | 30 | €325k | €150k | fell |
| Emmanuel Koné Super League 1 · 2018 | 31 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Richard Brittain Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 31 | €550k | €550k | flat |
| Dmitriy Kabutov Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Karel Geraerts Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 32 | €800k | €200k | fell |
| Sergiy Politylo Premier Liga · 2021 | 32 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Grigoris Makos Super League 1 · 2016 | 29 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Jesper Christjansen Superliga · 2017 | 30 | €400k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2024 | FC Emmen | Telstar | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Heracles Almelo | FC Emmen | Free / loan | €450k |
| 21 Jul 2017 | Utrecht | Heracles Almelo | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Utrecht U21 | Utrecht | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Feyenoord U19 | Utrecht U21 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Feyenoord U18 | Feyenoord U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Feyenoord U17 | Feyenoord U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Feyenoord Youth | Feyenoord U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.