Jeff Hardeveld

31 yrs · Left midfielder (also CB, LB) · Netherlands
SC Telstar · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€450k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€101k – €426k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€597k – €866k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€225k – €406k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€170k – €765k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€101k – €426k
Model value (performance-implied)€597k – €866k
Projected value (24 months)€225k – €406k
Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jeff Hardeveld's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (2979 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 83

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average28.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €223k vs market €450k
Expected appreciationVery low-29% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €500k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2979 (97% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.39
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.23
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
28 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1216
Opponent strength
1312
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€225k – €406k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -55% to -31%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SC TelstarEredivisieLM34297997%670.390.23131212150.43
2022/23FC EmmenEredivisieLB635312%000.000.14145211990.58
2020/21Heracles AlmeloEredivisieLB1493931%000.000.07134813030.56
2019/20Heracles AlmeloEredivisieLB868829%000.000.07136213300.62
2017/18Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCB18154050%200.120.09133713040.59
2016/17FC UtrechtEredivisieLB42117%000.000.09134714250.54
2014/15FC UtrechtEredivisieLB15129642%110.140.16135712890.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerSC Telstar545011—
2020/21Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo217200—
2019/20Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo19000—
2017/18Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo19000—
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Utrecht180001282
2016/17Knvb BekerFC Utrecht13800—
2015/16Knvb BekerFC Utrecht14500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jonas Thorsen
Superliga · 2020
30€325k€150kfell
Emmanuel Koné
Super League 1 · 2018
31€600k€250kfell
Richard Brittain
Scottish Premiership · 2014
31€550k€550kflat
Dmitriy Kabutov
Premier Liga · 2024
32€600k€400kfell
Karel Geraerts
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
32€800k€200kfell
Sergiy Politylo
Premier Liga · 2021
32€400k€250kfell
Grigoris Makos
Super League 1 · 2016
29€700k€450kfell
Jesper Christjansen
Superliga · 2017
30€400k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
2 Sept 2024FC EmmenTelstarFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2021Heracles AlmeloFC EmmenFree / loan€450k
21 Jul 2017UtrechtHeracles AlmeloUnknown€300k
1 Jan 2015Utrecht U21UtrechtUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2014Feyenoord U19Utrecht U21Unknown€50k
1 Jul 2013Feyenoord U18Feyenoord U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Feyenoord U17Feyenoord U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Feyenoord YouthFeyenoord U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.