
Jens Martin Gammelby
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jens Martin Gammelby's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 15.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €159k vs market €350k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1980 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1271
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €207k – €349k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -35% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RB | 22 | 1980 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1271 | 1213 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RB | 9 | 308 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.20 | 1266 | 1264 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RB | 5 | 48 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1375 | 1238 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | RB | 10 | 561 | 28% | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 1279 | 1329 | 0.47 |
| 2020/21 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | RB | 17 | 1184 | 60% | 4 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 1288 | 1164 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | RM | 11 | 855 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1245 | 1326 | 0.41 |
| 2018/19 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | RB | 8 | 588 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1275 | 1364 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RB | 26 | 2340 | 100% | 5 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 1296 | 1183 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | RB | 26 | 2340 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1325 | 1188 | 0.48 |
| 2014/15 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | CB | 29 | 2246 | 76% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1386 | 1097 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 314 | 1 | 1 | 1378 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 6 | 540 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1439 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | Lyngby Boldklub | 2 | 122 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 3 | 189 | 0 | 0 | 1390 |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 182 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1374 |
| 2017/18 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 5 | 436 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 3 | 211 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavol Farkas Super League 1 · 2017 | 32 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Björn Kopplin Superliga · 2020 | 31 | €325k | €300k | flat |
| James McPake Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 31 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Darren McGregor Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 29 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Nikolai Alho Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Timothy Derijck Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 34 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Kevin Conboy Superliga · 2019 | 32 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Jacob Une Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €750k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2024 | HamKam | Silkeborg IF | €100k | €400k |
| 8 Mar 2023 | Bröndby IF | HamKam | Unknown | €500k |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Miedz Legnica | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €500k |
| 21 Jan 2022 | Bröndby IF | Miedz Legnica | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Lyngby BK | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Bröndby IF | Lyngby BK | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Silkeborg IF | Bröndby IF | €1.5M | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Silkeborg U19 | Silkeborg IF | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Silkeborg Yth. | Silkeborg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.