Gyrano Kerk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gyrano Kerk's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (1503 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 3
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1503 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1365
- Opponent strength
- 1389
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €729k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 31 pts; team strength down (-77 Elo); role change RW -> ST.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -80% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1503 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 19 | 1503 | 56% | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 1389 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 29 | 2343 | 87% | 5 | 6 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 1372 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 26 | 874 | 32% | 2 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 1374 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | RW | 17 | 973 | 36% | 2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 1313 | 1399 | 0.53 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 12 | 866 | 28% | 4 | 2 | 0.62 | 0.34 | 1271 | 1497 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | RW | 23 | 1766 | 65% | 5 | 4 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 1344 | 1344 | 0.52 |
| 2021/22 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | RW | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1326 | 1358 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | RW | 34 | 2927 | 96% | 8 | 6 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 1360 | 1411 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | RW | 24 | 2070 | 92% | 10 | 8 | 0.78 | 0.54 | 1356 | 1418 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | ST | 33 | 2571 | 84% | 8 | 9 | 0.60 | 0.45 | 1348 | 1415 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | ST | 30 | 2439 | 80% | 6 | 6 | 0.44 | 0.36 | 1305 | 1422 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | ST | 15 | 919 | 30% | 3 | 5 | 0.78 | 0.53 | 1312 | 1425 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | RW | 4 | 184 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 1323 | 1289 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 8 | 594 | 1 | 1 | 1349 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 5 | 206 | 0 | 0 | 1671 |
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1302 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1430 |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 6 | 441 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 4 | 213 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 2 | 135 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 4 | 383 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Utrecht | 2 | 196 | 1 | 0 | 1310 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 3 | 258 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Utrecht | 6 | 482 | 1 | 0 | 1458 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 32 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joãozinho Premier Liga · 2020 | 32 | €2.4M | €800k | fell |
| Erman Kilic Super Lig · 2014 | 31 | €2.7M | €250k | fell |
| Erkan Zengin Super Lig · 2016 | 31 | €2.6M | €150k | fell |
| Ukra Liga Portugal · 2016 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Bogdan Stancu Super Lig · 2017 | 30 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Lukas Podolski Super Lig · 2017 | 32 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Mathieu Dossevi Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 29 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Maxime Lestienne Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Royal Antwerp | Without Club | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Loko Moscow | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Royal Antwerp | Loko Moscow | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Loko Moscow | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Sept 2021 | Utrecht | Loko Moscow | €7.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Utrecht U21 | Utrecht | Unknown | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Helmond Sport | Utrecht U21 | Free / loan | €250k |
| 3 Aug 2015 | Utrecht U21 | Helmond Sport | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Utrecht U19 | Utrecht U21 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Zeeburgia U17 | Utrecht U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | DWS Youth | Zeeburgia U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Haarlem Youth | DWS Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Telstar Yth. | Haarlem Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.