Abdülkadir Ömür
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdülkadir Ömür's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (1322 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €486k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1322 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1139
- Opponent strength
- 1258
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €618k – €1.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -50% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1322 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | RM | 25 | 1322 | 43% | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1258 | 1139 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | AM | 6 | 238 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 1358 | 1228 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 16 | 1117 | 33% | 0 | 6 | 0.48 | 0.38 | 1301 | 1379 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 29 | 1780 | 55% | 2 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 1288 | 1377 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 33 | 2191 | 64% | 7 | 4 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 1243 | 1433 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 23 | 1518 | 42% | 2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 1261 | 1363 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RM | 14 | 1054 | 34% | 3 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.20 | 1321 | 1410 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RM | 29 | 2212 | 72% | 5 | 9 | 0.57 | 0.29 | 1390 | 1459 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RM | 29 | 1938 | 63% | 3 | 6 | 0.42 | 0.28 | 1378 | 1432 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RM | 2 | 14 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1393 | 1382 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 6 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 1496 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 155 | 0 | 1 | 1476 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1605 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 300 | 0 | 1 | 1474 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajdin Hrustic Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Ahmed Ildız Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €1.1M | €600k | fell |
| Okechukwu Azubuike Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €1.0M | €150k | fell |
| Emiliano Marcondes Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Ali Kaan Güneren Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €1.6M | €1.6M | flat |
| Luis Fariña Super League 1 · 2017 | 26 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| May Mahlangu Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 27 | €1.2M | €1.0M | flat |
| Frank Boya Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 26 | €650k | €1.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Antalyaspor | Hull City | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 23 Jul 2025 | Hull City | Antalyaspor | Free / loan | €3.6M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | C. Rizespor | Hull City | Free / loan | €3.6M |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Hull City | C. Rizespor | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Trabzonspor | Hull City | €5.0M | €8.0M |
| 25 Apr 2016 | Trabzonspor U17 | Trabzonspor | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Trabzonspor U16 | Trabzonspor U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Trabzonspor Yth | Trabzonspor U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.