Chris Führich
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Chris Führich's performance-implied value at EUR 10.4M-24.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.9M-12.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-8.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.19x the positional average in the league (1706 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 15
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 85.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €9.0M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1706 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.79
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 86 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1567
- Opponent strength
- 1495
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.2M – €8.9M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 99% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -57% to -2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1706 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | LW | 33 | 1706 | 56% | 7 | 8 | 0.79 | 0.48 | 1495 | 1567 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | LW | 33 | 1987 | 65% | 2 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 1466 | 1531 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | LW | 34 | 2595 | 85% | 8 | 7 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 1513 | 1637 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | LW | 33 | 1891 | 62% | 5 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 1530 | 1429 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | AM | 25 | 1727 | 56% | 3 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1516 | 1425 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | LW | 2 | 95 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1598 | 1387 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 12 | 448 | 0 | 1 | 1482 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 331 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1760 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 506 | 1 | 0 | 1619 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 336 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1761 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 330 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 343 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Berenguer Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €12.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Riccardo Orsolini Serie A · 2024 | 27 | €16.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Dries Mertens Serie A · 2015 | 28 | €18.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Aleksandr Kerzhakov Premier Liga · 2013 | 31 | €12.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Jonas Hofmann Bundesliga · 2021 | 29 | €16.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Romain Hamouma Ligue 1 · 2015 | 28 | €6.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Alassane Pléa Bundesliga · 2022 | 29 | €15.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Mattia Zaccagni Serie A · 2022 | 27 | €18.0M | €20.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2021 | SC Paderborn | Stuttgart | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | B. Dortmund II | SC Paderborn | €700k | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | SC Paderborn | B. Dortmund II | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 12 Aug 2020 | B. Dortmund II | SC Paderborn | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | 1.FC Köln | B. Dortmund II | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Oberhausen U19 | 1.FC Köln | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | VfL Bochum U17 | Oberhausen U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | B. Dortmund U17 | VfL Bochum U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Dortmund Yth. | B. Dortmund U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Schalke 04 Yth. | Dortmund Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Suderwich Yth. | Schalke 04 Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.