Jamiro Monteiro

32 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Cape Verde
PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€650k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€153k – €748k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€215k – €417k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€216k – €501k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€534k – €264k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€153k – €748k
Model value (performance-implied)€215k – €417k
Projected value (24 months)€216k – €501k
Dashed line: current market value (€650k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jamiro Monteiro's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.42x the positional average in the league (1276 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 43

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average12.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €346k vs market €650k
Expected appreciationVery low-50% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1276 (42% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.35
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.31
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
13 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1186
Opponent strength
1319
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€216k – €501k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; team strength down (-79 Elo); role change AM -> CM; relative output up 95% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -62% to -36%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1276 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PEC ZwolleEredivisieCM21127642%230.350.31131911860.43
2024/25PEC ZwolleEredivisieAM28198865%220.180.29129712650.50
2023/24Gaziantep FKSuper LigAM1374022%120.360.47126912120.45
2017/18Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCM34279791%430.230.21132113040.59
2015/16SC Cambuur LeeuwardenEredivisieCM20146448%210.180.27134511480.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupCape Verde323000—
2025/26Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle218000—
2024/25Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle17810—
2017/18Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo324910—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Marcos Paulo
Super League 1 · 2019
31€450k€100kfell
Christos Mingas
Super League 1 · 2015
31€350k€250kfell
Marko Jevtovic
Super Lig · 2024
31€650k€400kfell
Alex Soares
Super League 1 · 2022
31€350k€200kfell
Matias Iglesias
Super League 1 · 2017
32€500k€200kfell
Jean Barrientos
Super League 1 · 2022
32€350k€200kfell
Sergey Tkachev
Premier Liga · 2021
32€1.2M€400kfell
Mehdi Bourabia
Super Lig · 2024
33€1.0M€1.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026PEC ZwolleWithout ClubUnknown€650k
30 Aug 2024Gaziantep FKPEC ZwolleFree / loan€2.0M
8 Feb 2024SJ EarthquakesGaziantep FKFree / loan€3.0M
14 Feb 2022PhiladelphiaSJ Earthquakes€409k€3.0M
10 Jan 2020FC MetzPhiladelphia€1.8M€1.9M
31 Dec 2019PhiladelphiaFC MetzFree / loan€1.9M
5 Mar 2019FC MetzPhiladelphiaFree / loan€1.8M
28 Jul 2018Heracles AlmeloFC Metz€3.0M€1.8M
1 Jul 2017SC CambuurHeracles Almelo€450k€500k
6 Oct 2015SC Cambuur U21SC CambuurUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Without ClubSC Cambuur U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Anker WismarWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Dordrecht U21Anker WismarFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Excelsior U19Dordrecht U21Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.