Felix Passlack
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Felix Passlack's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (793 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 37.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €387k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 793 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1281
- Opponent strength
- 1180
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €326k – €753k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 50 pts; changed club; league level down (-274 Elo); relative output down 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -49% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 793 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | RM | 9 | 793 | 27% | 2 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 1180 | 1280 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | VfL Bochum | Bundesliga | RM | 31 | 2345 | 77% | 1 | 6 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 1501 | 1326 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | VfL Bochum | Bundesliga | RB | 15 | 967 | 32% | 2 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 1470 | 1372 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 3 | 60 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1439 | 1691 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 10 | 467 | 15% | 1 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.16 | 1487 | 1643 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | LB | 7 | 358 | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 1478 | 1703 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | RM | 25 | 2177 | 93% | 2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 1350 | 1238 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | RB | 2 | 61 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1446 | 1579 | 1.04 |
| 2017/18 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | LB | 1 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1490 | 1592 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 10 | 534 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 1569 | 1705 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RM | 3 | 181 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1444 | 1718 | 1.02 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Bochum | 3 | 104 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Bochum | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Bochum | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1440 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 93 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1892 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1535 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2020/21 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1919 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 3 | 300 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Norwich City | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 1526 |
| 2017/18 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1855 |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 190 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1537 |
| 2016/17 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1853 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Strain Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €850k | €450k | fell |
| Loret Sadiku Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Iain Vigurs Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 27 | €500k | €425k | flat |
| Azer Busuladzic Super League 1 · 2020 | 29 | €650k | €300k | fell |
| Mykyta Tatarkov Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Andreas Tatos Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Raman Chibsah Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €900k | €250k | fell |
| Tolga Cigerci Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €600k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | VfL Bochum | Hibernian FC | €200k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Dortmund | VfL Bochum | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Fortuna Sittard | Dortmund | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Dortmund | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Norwich | Dortmund | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 2 Jul 2018 | Dortmund | Norwich | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Hoffenheim | Dortmund | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Aug 2017 | Dortmund | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 4 Jan 2016 | B. Dortmund U19 | Dortmund | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | B. Dortmund U17 | B. Dortmund U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Dortmund Yth. | B. Dortmund U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | RW Oberh. Yth. | Dortmund Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | F. Bottrop Yth. | RW Oberh. Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.