Hans Hateboer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hans Hateboer's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 62.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -58% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 762 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1553
- Opponent strength
- 1412
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €482k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 30 pts; changed club; team strength up (+103 Elo); role change CB -> RB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -68% to -58%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 762 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RB | 15 | 741 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1412 | 1554 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 1 | 21 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1354 | 1520 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 26 | 1680 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1438 | 1450 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 23 | 1104 | 32% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1504 | 1709 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 17 | 1401 | 41% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1486 | 1556 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 21 | 1389 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1452 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2019/20 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 32 | 2353 | 69% | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 1449 | 1666 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 35 | 2973 | 87% | 5 | 5 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 1446 | 1570 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 33 | 2396 | 70% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 1476 | 1556 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RB | 19 | 1710 | 56% | 1 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 1354 | 1345 | 0.54 |
| 2016/17 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | RM | 6 | 288 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1578 | 1539 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RB | 31 | 2756 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1315 | 1337 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RB | 23 | 1703 | 56% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1347 | 1328 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RB | 14 | 1194 | 39% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 1332 | 1365 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 7 | 277 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 130 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 6 | 453 | 0 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1607 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 9 | 592 | 2 | 1 | 1695 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Atalanta BC | 4 | 360 | 1 | 1 | 1392 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 8 | 700 | 0 | 1 | 1539 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Groningen | 6 | 457 | 0 | 0 | 1493 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 2 | 210 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2015/16 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 5 | 334 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Groningen | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1350 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hubocan Ligue 1 · 2017 | 32 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Jonathan Brison Ligue 1 · 2014 | 31 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Kiko Femenía Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €2.5M | €900k | fell |
| Henri Bedimo Ligue 1 · 2016 | 32 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Martín Cáceres Serie A · 2019 | 32 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Lorik Cana Serie A · 2015 | 32 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Michaël Ciani Serie A · 2015 | 31 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Cesare Bovo Serie A · 2015 | 32 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Lyon | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Stade Rennais | Lyon | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 6 Aug 2024 | Atalanta | Stade Rennais | €2.8M | €3.5M |
| 31 Jan 2017 | FC Groningen | Atalanta | €1.0M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Gron./Cam. U21 | FC Groningen | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Gron./Cam. U19 | Gron./Cam. U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Groningen U17 | Gron./Cam. U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.