Emil Hansson
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Emil Hansson's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.32x the positional average in the league (579 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 1.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €374k vs market €750k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 579 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1183
- Opponent strength
- 1314
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €351k – €819k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -38% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 579 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 12 | 579 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.54 | 1314 | 1183 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 24 | 1895 | 62% | 5 | 6 | 0.52 | 0.61 | 1356 | 1149 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | RW | 11 | 648 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1306 | 1249 | 0.60 |
| 2021/22 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 13 | 568 | 19% | 0 | 4 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 1332 | 1250 | 0.60 |
| 2019/20 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | LW | 7 | 606 | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.45 | 1398 | 1174 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 1 | 20 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1261 | 1530 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 2 | 37 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1230 | 1536 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Blackpool FC | 2 | 106 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 3 | 253 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elbasan Rashani Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €500k | €2.0M | rose |
| Kristoffer Peterson Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Rafał Kurzawa Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Mario Situm Super Lig · 2020 | 28 | €675k | €400k | fell |
| Luka Djordjevic Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Fabián Muñoz Super League 1 · 2017 | 26 | €600k | €200k | fell |
| Liam Boyce Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 29 | €400k | €600k | rose |
| Etien Velikonja Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 27 | €800k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | Birmingham | Excelsior | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | Birmingham | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Aug 2025 | Birmingham | Blackpool | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Heracles Almelo | Birmingham | €1.8M | €1.5M |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Fortuna Sittard | Heracles Almelo | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Hannover 96 | Fortuna Sittard | €400k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | RKC Waalwijk | Hannover 96 | Free / loan | €800k |
| 22 Jan 2020 | Hannover 96 | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €900k |
| 19 Aug 2019 | Feyenoord | Hannover 96 | €400k | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | RKC Waalwijk | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €600k |
| 19 Jul 2018 | Feyenoord | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Feyenoord U19 | Feyenoord | Unknown | €50k |
| 21 Aug 2015 | SK Brann | Feyenoord U19 | €320k | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2014 | SK Brann Yth. | SK Brann | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 24 Jul 2013 | Kalmar FF Jgd. | SK Brann Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.