Florian Neuhaus

29 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.5M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€710k – €2.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.5M – €3.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€855k – €2.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€480k – €3.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€710k – €2.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €3.8M
Projected value (24 months)€855k – €2.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Florian Neuhaus's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-3.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (935 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 74

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage52.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €947k vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-37% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €38.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
935 (31% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.27
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
53 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1423
Opponent strength
1459
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€855k – €2.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -69% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 935 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaAM1793531%010.100.27145914220.94
2024/25Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM1836812%010.240.23150314270.94
2023/24Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM25122940%420.440.33150014351.01
2022/23Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM23141046%100.060.11150914991.04
2021/22Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM29210669%440.340.30151915351.05
2020/21Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM33263086%660.410.28152215811.06
2019/20Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM30236177%420.230.18152516041.06
2018/19Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM32207268%390.520.30150115281.05

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach11700—
2024/25Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach16900—
2023/24Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach418302—
2022/23Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach19010—
2021/22Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach319700—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach8699001742
2020/21Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach429622—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach5376001501
2019/20Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach218000—
2018/19Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach213611—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
David Bentley
Premier Liga · 2013
29€3.0M€3.0Mflat
Zdravko Kuzmanovic
Serie A · 2016
29€2.0M€600kfell
Stanislav Manolev
Premier Liga · 2014
29€1.5M€700kfell
Mehdi Lacen
Laliga · 2013
29€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Amir Abrashi
Bundesliga · 2019
29€2.5M€800kfell
Andrea Bertolacci
Serie A · 2020
29€2.4M€2.5Mflat
Kingsley Ehizibue
Serie A · 2023
28€2.5M€2.4Mflat
Tino Costa
Serie A · 2016
31€3.5M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2018F. DüsseldorfMönchengladbachFree / loan€3.0M
2 Jul 2017MönchengladbachF. DüsseldorfFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 20171860 MunichMönchengladbachFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2016TSV 1860 U191860 MunichUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014TSV 1860 U17TSV 1860 U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012TSV 1860 Yth.TSV 1860 U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Kaufering Yth.TSV 1860 Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.