
Dmitriy Skopintsev
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmitriy Skopintsev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 47.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1476 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1333
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €855k – €2.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -70% to -49%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1476 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 25 | 1476 | 55% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 1333 | 1423 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 23 | 1089 | 40% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1293 | 1445 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 29 | 2255 | 84% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1328 | 1374 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 29 | 2101 | 78% | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1308 | 1325 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 27 | 1569 | 58% | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 1359 | 1374 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 24 | 1850 | 69% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1356 | 1391 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 10 | 803 | 30% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 1349 | 1362 | 0.63 |
| 2019/20 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | LM | 5 | 219 | 8% | 1 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.30 | 1394 | 1465 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | LM | 15 | 1220 | 45% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1400 | 1402 | 0.69 |
| 2018/19 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | LB | 9 | 488 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 1364 | 1543 | 0.69 |
| 2017/18 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | LM | 10 | 579 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1406 | 1447 | 0.75 |
| 2016/17 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | LM | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1390 | 1533 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 11 | 852 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 8 | 702 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 6 | 430 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 586 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 6 | 492 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Dinamo Moskva | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1373 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1605 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1613 |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | FK Baltika | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Ota Eredivisie · 2016 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Derrick Tshimanga Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 28 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Réginal Goreux Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 29 | €1.3M | €400k | fell |
| Tin Jedvaj Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Mateo Barac Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Björn Engels Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €400k | fell |
| Olcan Adin Super Lig · 2016 | 31 | €3.0M | €850k | fell |
| Miha Mevlja Premier Liga · 2020 | 30 | €2.4M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2020 | Krasnodar | Dinamo Moscow | €4.3M | €4.0M |
| 19 Feb 2019 | Rostov | Krasnodar | €4.4M | €4.5M |
| 31 Dec 2017 | Baltika | Rostov | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Rostov | Baltika | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Aug 2016 | FC Liefering | Rostov | €380k | €250k |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Leipzig | FC Liefering | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Zenit II | Leipzig | €600k | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Dynamo M II | Zenit II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Dynamo U17 | Dynamo M II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.