Dmitriy Skopintsev

29 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Russia
FK Dinamo Moskva · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€644k – €2.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€935k – €3.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€855k – €2.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €2.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€644k – €2.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€935k – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€855k – €2.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dmitriy Skopintsev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 33

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage47.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.4M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-50% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1476 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.18
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
47 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1423
Opponent strength
1333
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€855k – €2.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -70% to -49%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1476 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
48%–200%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB25147655%030.180.16133314230.56
2024/25FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB23108940%020.170.15129314450.55
2023/24FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB29225584%120.120.12132813740.49
2022/23FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB29210178%130.170.15130813250.53
2021/22FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB27156958%130.230.17135913740.52
2020/21FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB24185069%110.100.12135613910.55
2019/20FK Dinamo MoskvaPremier LigaLB1080330%100.110.14134913620.63
2019/20FK KrasnodarPremier LigaLM52198%100.410.30139414650.63
2018/19FK RostovPremier LigaLM15122045%020.150.19140014020.69
2018/19FK KrasnodarPremier LigaLB948818%100.180.12136415430.69
2017/18FK RostovPremier LigaLM1057921%010.160.22140614470.75
2016/17FK RostovPremier LigaLM130%000.000.23139015330.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupFK Dinamo Moskva1185210—
2024/25Russian CupFK Dinamo Moskva870211—
2023/24Russian CupFK Dinamo Moskva643000—
2022/23Russian CupFK Dinamo Moskva958600—
2021/22Russian CupFK Dinamo Moskva649211—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Dinamo Moskva145001373
2020/21Russian CupFK Dinamo Moskva11400—
2019/20Russian CupFK Krasnodar19000—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingFK Krasnodar134001605
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueFK Krasnodar115001613
2018/19Russian CupFK Rostov218011—
2017/18Russian CupFK Baltika19000—
2016/17Russian CupFK Rostov19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kosuke Ota
Eredivisie · 2016
29€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Derrick Tshimanga
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
28€1.5M€500kfell
Réginal Goreux
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
29€1.3M€400kfell
Tin Jedvaj
Super League 1 · 2024
29€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Mateo Barac
Premier Liga · 2022
28€1.5M€700kfell
Björn Engels
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
28€3.0M€400kfell
Olcan Adin
Super Lig · 2016
31€3.0M€850kfell
Miha Mevlja
Premier Liga · 2020
30€2.4M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
7 Jan 2020KrasnodarDinamo Moscow€4.3M€4.0M
19 Feb 2019RostovKrasnodar€4.4M€4.5M
31 Dec 2017BaltikaRostovFree / loan€400k
1 Jan 2017RostovBaltikaFree / loan€200k
31 Aug 2016FC LieferingRostov€380k€250k
31 Aug 2015LeipzigFC LieferingFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2015Zenit IILeipzig€600k€400k
1 Jul 2014Dynamo M IIZenit IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2014Dynamo U17Dynamo M IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Dmitriy Skopintsev · MoneyballAI