
Luis Milla
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Luis Milla's performance-implied value at EUR 3.0M-7.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.60x the positional average in the league (3277 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 45
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 83.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -44% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3277 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1446
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €3.2M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -57% to -47%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Getafe CF | Laliga | CM | 37 | 3277 | 96% | 1 | 10 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 1494 | 1446 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Getafe CF | Laliga | CM | 33 | 2878 | 84% | 1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 1522 | 1395 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Getafe CF | Laliga | CM | 27 | 2123 | 62% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 1482 | 1415 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Getafe CF | Laliga | CM | 27 | 1863 | 54% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 1523 | 1434 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Granada CF | Laliga | CM | 34 | 2785 | 81% | 3 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1524 | 1415 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Granada CF | Laliga | CM | 15 | 1169 | 34% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 1552 | 1466 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 263 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 270 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 300 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 2 | 100 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Granada CF | 6 | 457 | 0 | 1 | 1508 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Granada CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1399 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Gentner Bundesliga · 2015 | 30 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Cheikh N'Doye Ligue 1 · 2017 | 31 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Óscar González Laliga · 2013 | 31 | €3.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Étienne Didot Ligue 1 · 2013 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Thomas Mangani Ligue 1 · 2018 | 31 | €3.5M | €1.6M | fell |
| Piti Laliga · 2013 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Kevin Stöger Bundesliga · 2024 | 31 | €5.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Mitchell Weiser Bundesliga · 2024 | 30 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2022 | Granada CF | Getafe | €5.0M | €5.0M |
| 4 Aug 2020 | CD Tenerife | Granada CF | €5.0M | €1.0M |
| 19 Jan 2018 | CF Fuenlabrada | CD Tenerife | €500k | €300k |
| 11 Jul 2017 | AD Alcorcón | CF Fuenlabrada | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | CF Fuenlabrada | AD Alcorcón | Free / loan | €300k |
| 16 Jul 2016 | AD Alcorcón | CF Fuenlabrada | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | CD Guijuelo | AD Alcorcón | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 7 Aug 2015 | AD Alcorcón | CD Guijuelo | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 6 Aug 2015 | Rayo B | AD Alcorcón | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 24 Jul 2014 | Atl. Madrid C | Rayo B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Atl. Madrid U19 | Atl. Madrid C | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Majad. Youth | Atl. Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.