Luis Milla

32 yrs · Central midfielder · Spain
Getafe CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€3.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.4M – €3.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.0M – €7.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.4M – €3.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€481k – €6.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €7.9M
Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Luis Milla's performance-implied value at EUR 3.0M-7.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.60x the positional average in the league (3277 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 45

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh83.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.1M vs market €3.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-44% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
3277 (96% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.35
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
84 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1446
Opponent strength
1494
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.4M – €3.2M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -57% to -47%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Getafe CFLaligaCM37327796%1100.300.35149414460.95
2024/25Getafe CFLaligaCM33287884%140.160.24152213950.95
2023/24Getafe CFLaligaCM27212362%010.040.12148214151.00
2022/23Getafe CFLaligaCM27186354%030.140.21152314340.98
2021/22Granada CFLaligaCM34278581%330.190.26152414151.05
2020/21Granada CFLaligaCM15116934%110.150.21155214661.10

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyGetafe CF14500—
2024/25Copa Del ReyGetafe CF326300—
2023/24Copa Del ReyGetafe CF327011—
2022/23Copa Del ReyGetafe CF330001—
2021/22Copa Del ReyGranada CF210001—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueGranada CF6457011508
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingGranada CF190001399
2020/21Copa Del ReyGranada CF18500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Christian Gentner
Bundesliga · 2015
30€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Cheikh N'Doye
Ligue 1 · 2017
31€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Óscar González
Laliga · 2013
31€3.5M€1.8Mfell
Étienne Didot
Ligue 1 · 2013
30€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Thomas Mangani
Ligue 1 · 2018
31€3.5M€1.6Mfell
Piti
Laliga · 2013
32€3.0M€1.0Mfell
Kevin Stöger
Bundesliga · 2024
31€5.0M€1.8Mfell
Mitchell Weiser
Bundesliga · 2024
30€6.0M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
25 Jul 2022Granada CFGetafe€5.0M€5.0M
4 Aug 2020CD TenerifeGranada CF€5.0M€1.0M
19 Jan 2018CF FuenlabradaCD Tenerife€500k€300k
11 Jul 2017AD AlcorcónCF FuenlabradaFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2017CF FuenlabradaAD AlcorcónFree / loan€300k
16 Jul 2016AD AlcorcónCF FuenlabradaFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2016CD GuijueloAD AlcorcónFree / loanData unavailable
7 Aug 2015AD AlcorcónCD GuijueloFree / loanData unavailable
6 Aug 2015Rayo BAD AlcorcónFree / loanData unavailable
24 Jul 2014Atl. Madrid CRayo BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Atl. Madrid U19Atl. Madrid CUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Majad. YouthAtl. Madrid U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.