Giovanni Simeone
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giovanni Simeone's performance-implied value at EUR 3.8M-7.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.3M-8.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-4.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.20x the positional average in the league (2247 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 2
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 80.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.5M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2247 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1419
- Opponent strength
- 1502
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.8M – €4.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -44% to -25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Torino FC | Serie A | ST | 32 | 2247 | 66% | 11 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.61 | 1502 | 1419 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | ST | 30 | 393 | 11% | 1 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.40 | 1464 | 1660 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | ST | 28 | 786 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 1439 | 1569 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | ST | 25 | 386 | 11% | 4 | 1 | 1.17 | 0.44 | 1485 | 1739 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | ST | 35 | 2666 | 78% | 17 | 6 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 1463 | 1441 | 0.89 |
| 2021/22 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | ST | 1 | 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1363 | 1310 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | ST | 33 | 1742 | 51% | 6 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 1487 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | ST | 37 | 2937 | 86% | 12 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 1433 | 1368 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | ST | 36 | 2458 | 72% | 6 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 1460 | 1384 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | ST | 38 | 3032 | 89% | 14 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 1471 | 1491 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 35 | 2588 | 76% | 12 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 1486 | 1340 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 125 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 3 | 178 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercoppa Italiana | SSC Napoli | 2 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1671 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 6 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 1671 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 7 | 260 | 4 | 0 | 1658 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 4 | 68 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 120 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Braithwaite Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €5.0M | €2.7M | fell |
| Lucas Barrios Ligue 1 · 2015 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Kevin-Prince Boateng Laliga · 2017 | 30 | €5.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Mbaye Diagne Premier League · 2021 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Vedad Ibisevic Bundesliga · 2016 | 32 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Willian José Laliga · 2024 | 33 | €5.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Florian Kainz Bundesliga · 2022 | 30 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Max Gradel Ligue 1 · 2018 | 31 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Napoli | Torino | €7.2M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Torino | Napoli | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 7 Aug 2025 | Napoli | Torino | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Hellas Verona | Napoli | €12.0M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Napoli | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Hellas Verona | Napoli | Free / loan | €17.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Cagliari | Hellas Verona | €10.5M | €17.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Hellas Verona | Cagliari | Free / loan | €17.0M |
| 26 Aug 2021 | Cagliari | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €11.0M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Fiorentina | Cagliari | €13.0M | €15.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Cagliari | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 30 Aug 2019 | Fiorentina | Cagliari | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 16 Aug 2017 | Genoa | Fiorentina | €17.0M | €10.0M |
| 18 Aug 2016 | River Plate | Genoa | €5.1M | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Banfield | River Plate | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 6 Jul 2015 | River Plate | Banfield | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | River Plate II | River Plate | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | River Plate U20 | River Plate II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | River JV | River Plate U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Majad. Youth | River JV | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.