Epaminondas Pantelakis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Epaminondas Pantelakis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €123k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1157 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1207
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €140k – €355k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; changed club; league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -64% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1157 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | CB | 14 | 1157 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1207 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | CB | 19 | 1588 | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 1305 | 1156 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 22 | 1888 | 81% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 1245 | 1131 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 21 | 1677 | 72% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1248 | 1182 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 14 | 364 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1318 | 1248 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | CB | 24 | 1831 | 78% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1272 | 1197 | 0.39 |
| 2018/19 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 4 | 264 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1185 | 1306 | 0.43 |
| 2014/15 | GS Ergotelis | Super League 1 | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1249 | 1192 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | GS Ergotelis | Super League 1 | CB | 1 | 15 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1243 | 1300 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | 4 | 286 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | GS Ergotelis | 3 | 241 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodoros Tripotseris Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Kyriakos Kivrakidis Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Marko Gobeljic Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Super Lig · 2023 | 31 | €400k | €125k | fell |
| Yevgeniy Tkachuk Premier Liga · 2022 | 31 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Lasse Fosgaard Superliga · 2018 | 32 | €200k | €250k | rose |
| Mathieu Gomes Super League 1 · 2017 | 32 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Denis Kolinger Superliga · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €450k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | Panetolikos | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | PAS Giannina | Panetolikos | Free / loan | €450k |
| 31 Aug 2019 | Panathinaikos | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €200k |
| 10 Aug 2018 | Olympiacos | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | AOX Kissamikos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Jul 2017 | Olympiacos | AOX Kissamikos | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | PGS Kissamikos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €200k |
| 20 Jul 2016 | Olympiacos | PGS Kissamikos | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | PGS Kissamikos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Sept 2015 | Olympiacos | PGS Kissamikos | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ergotelis | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Fostiras | Ergotelis | Free / loan | €150k |
| 29 Jan 2015 | Ergotelis | Fostiras | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | GS Ergotelis U20 | Ergotelis | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Aris Soudas | GS Ergotelis U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.