Qazim Laci
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Qazim Laci's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 2.10x the positional average in the league (2694 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -52% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2694 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.54
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1229
- Opponent strength
- 1268
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €672k – €2.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -70% to -9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | CM | 32 | 2694 | 88% | 7 | 9 | 0.53 | 0.46 | 1268 | 1229 | 0.40 |
| 2022/23 | AC Ajaccio | Ligue 1 | CM | 9 | 207 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1409 | 1207 | 0.82 |
| 2016/17 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | CM | 10 | 374 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1343 | 1191 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AC Sparta Prague | 8 | 604 | 1 | 0 | 1711 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | AC Sparta Prague | 6 | 428 | 0 | 1 | 1393 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thom Haye Eredivisie · 2024 | 29 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Alexandru Maxim Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sébastien Siani Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 29 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Rob Schoofs Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €2.2M | flat |
| Nikolay Kalinskiy Premier Liga · 2022 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Grigoris Makos Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Soner Aydoğdu Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €2.6M | €650k | fell |
| Danny Armstrong Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2025 | Sparta Prague | C. Rizespor | €800k | €4.0M |
| 1 Jan 2023 | AC Ajaccio | Sparta Prague | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Olympiacos | AC Ajaccio | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | AC Ajaccio | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €300k |
| 28 Jul 2017 | Olympiacos | AC Ajaccio | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Levadiakos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €200k |
| 8 Jan 2017 | Olympiacos | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €200k |
| 4 Jan 2017 | APOEL Nicosia | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Olympiacos | APOEL Nicosia | Free / loan | €250k |
| 12 Jan 2015 | Olympiacos U20 | Olympiacos | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Olympiacos U17 | Olympiacos U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.