Ahmet Oğuz

The model rates Ahmet Oğuz's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2145 (70% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.08

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.12

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

22 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 18)

Team strength (Elo)

1188

Opponent strength

1280

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€96k – €358k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -53% to -20%).

• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

50 (DEF)

Relative output kept

68%–191%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

54%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.