Oriol Rey
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oriol Rey's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.88x the positional average in the league (1319 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 41.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €762k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1319 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1507
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €841k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -49% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1319 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | DM | 20 | 1319 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 1507 | 1420 | 0.95 |
| 2020/21 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | DM | 1 | 14 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1411 | 1394 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Real Valladolid CF | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Ninkovic Ligue 1 · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Philipp Bargfrede Bundesliga · 2016 | 27 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Mato Jajalo Serie A · 2015 | 27 | €1.8M | €900k | fell |
| Hakan Özmert Super Lig · 2013 | 28 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
| Albin Ekdal Bundesliga · 2018 | 29 | €2.5M | €3.2M | rose |
| Adrian Beck Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Tristan Dingomé Ligue 1 · 2019 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Amir Abrashi Bundesliga · 2017 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | CD Mirandés | Levante | Free / loan | €900k |
| 28 Jul 2021 | Valladolid Prom | CD Mirandés | Free / loan | €300k |
| 18 Jul 2019 | Leeds United U23 | Valladolid Prom | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | UB Conquense | Leeds United U23 | Free / loan | €300k |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Leeds United U23 | UB Conquense | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 27 Jul 2017 | Barça U19 | Leeds United U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Barça U18 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Barça U16 | Barça U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.