Frankie Kent
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Frankie Kent's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 20.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €211k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 787 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1332
- Opponent strength
- 1181
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €158k – €389k
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+95 Elo); relative output down 69% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -58% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 787 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 16 | 787 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1181 | 1332 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 13 | 1115 | 38% | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1256 | 1237 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 31 | 2790 | 94% | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 1239 | 1322 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1599 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Heart of Midlothian FC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Bruma Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €450k | €250k | fell |
| Lindsay Rose Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €250k | €125k | fell |
| Yevgeniy Pasich Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Mathias Nielsen Superliga · 2021 | 30 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Sofyane Cherfa Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Vangelis Ikonomou Super League 1 · 2019 | 32 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Christos Tasoulis Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Gjoko Zajkov Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €750k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Heart of Midl. | Without Club | Unknown | €400k |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Peterborough | Heart of Midl. | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Colchester Utd. | Peterborough | €400k | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Colchester U18 | Colchester Utd. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.