
Felix Beijmo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Felix Beijmo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-3.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 74
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 45.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1888 (95% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1441
- Opponent strength
- 1256
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €3.7M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+112 Elo); league level up (+45 Elo); role change RM -> CB; relative output up 126% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -31% to -20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | CB | 22 | 1888 | 95% | 2 | 3 | 0.24 | 0.14 | 1256 | 1441 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | RM | 21 | 1707 | 86% | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 1292 | 1329 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | RM | 21 | 1785 | 90% | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 1297 | 1356 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | RM | 5 | 434 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1239 | 1331 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 6 | 540 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 3 | 199 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 6 | 479 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aarhus GF | 2 | 146 | 1 | 0 | 1493 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Malmö Fotbollförening | 6 | 506 | 0 | 1 | 1548 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Malmö Fotbollförening | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | 1292 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Malmö Fotbollförening | 4 | 265 | 1 | 1 | 1313 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Ciman Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 29 | €3.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Erik Sviatchenko Superliga · 2021 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Johan Larsson Superliga · 2018 | 28 | €1.8M | €800k | fell |
| Filip Novak Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €2.8M | €2.0M | fell |
| Jelle Van Damme Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Guillaume Gillet Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 30 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Casper Højer Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Eric Botteghin Eredivisie · 2015 | 28 | €3.0M | €7.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Aarhus GF | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Malmö | Aarhus GF | €269k | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Aarhus GF | Malmö | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jan 2023 | Malmö | Aarhus GF | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 12 Aug 2020 | Werder Bremen | Malmö | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Greuther Fürth | Werder Bremen | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Werder Bremen | Greuther Fürth | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 31 Dec 2019 | Malmö | Werder Bremen | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 13 Aug 2019 | Werder Bremen | Malmö | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Djurgården | Werder Bremen | €3.0M | €1.0M |
| 30 Mar 2017 | Brommapojkarna | Djurgården | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | IF Bromma U19 | Brommapojkarna | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | IF Bromma U17 | IF Bromma U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.