Emmanuel Boateng

30 yrs · Striker (also LW) · Ghana
Gaziantep FK · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€305k – €932k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€173k – €670k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€390k – €1.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€759k – €365k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€305k – €932k
Model value (performance-implied)€173k – €670k
Projected value (24 months)€390k – €1.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Emmanuel Boateng's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (466 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average11.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €406k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-48% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
466 (15% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.19
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.46
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1167
Opponent strength
1288
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€390k – €1.0M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -41% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 466 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Gaziantep FKSuper LigST1146615%100.190.46128811670.40
2024/25Gaziantep FKSuper LigST1688027%420.610.57127611980.39
2023/24Rio Ave FCLiga PortugalST27186061%740.530.60137113170.58
2022/23Rio Ave FCLiga PortugalLW28187061%600.290.40139113290.68
2018/19Levante UDLaligaST1669520%100.130.41156214951.14
2017/18Levante UDLaligaST25127037%610.500.72158514681.11
2017/18Moreirense FCLiga PortugalST21806%000.000.41129312810.64
2016/17Moreirense FCLiga PortugalST26163553%770.770.85136313210.58
2015/16Moreirense FCLiga PortugalLW2798332%220.370.50142912650.58
2014/15Rio Ave FCLiga PortugalST1248216%110.370.47135113240.68

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2018/19Copa Del ReyLevante UD321701—
2017/18Copa Del ReyLevante UD431510—
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueRio Ave FC5313001483
2014/15Uefa Europa League QualifyingRio Ave FC4151011428
2014/15Supercup Candido De OliveiraRio Ave FC165001736

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Duckens Nazon
Super Lig · 2024
30€1.6M€1.6Mflat
Bojan Matic
Super League 1 · 2021
30€600k€400kfell
Quentin Cornette
Super League 1 · 2024
30€600k€600kflat
Kevin Brobbey
Super Lig · 2021
28€800k€500kfell
André Felipe
Super Lig · 2021
31€750k€300kfell
Nikolaos Karelis
Super League 1 · 2021
29€600k€800krose
Geraldo
Super Lig · 2021
30€450k€300kfell
Ercan Kara
Super Lig · 2024
28€1.8M€900kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Feb 2026Gaziantep FKHapoel Tel AvivFree / loan€1.2M
13 Jan 2025Al-OrobahGaziantep FK€1.5M€1.2M
22 Aug 2024Rio AveAl-OrobahFree / loan€1.0M
16 Aug 2022Without ClubRio AveUnknown€700k
1 Apr 2022DL ProWithout ClubUnknown€700k
20 Feb 2019LevanteDL Yifang€11.0M€3.0M
16 Aug 2017MoreirenseLevante€2.9M€1.5M
7 Jul 2015Rio AveMoreirenseUnknown€850k
1 Jul 2014Charity StarsRio AveUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.