Jakub Pokorny
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jakub Pokorny's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €335k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1655 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1169
- Opponent strength
- 1259
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €307k – €555k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -44% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1655 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | Super League 1 | CB | 21 | 1655 | 71% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1259 | 1169 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Suárez Super League 1 · 2020 | 30 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Gary Irvine Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 30 | €350k | €225k | fell |
| Manolis Bertos Super League 1 · 2017 | 28 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Raúl Llorente Super League 1 · 2015 | 29 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Vitaliy Yermakov Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Jesper Juelsgaard Superliga · 2018 | 29 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Jan Van den Bergh Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €650k | €450k | fell |
| Lubomir Satka Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | Sigma Olomouc | Kifisia | Free / loan | €550k |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Banik Ostrava | Sigma Olomouc | €245k | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Hradec Kralove | Banik Ostrava | Free / loan | €225k |
| 16 Aug 2018 | Banik Ostrava | Hradec Kralove | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Usti nad Labem | Banik Ostrava | Free / loan | €400k |
| 17 Feb 2018 | Banik Ostrava | Usti nad Labem | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | 1.SC Znojmo | Banik Ostrava | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Znojmo U19 | 1.SC Znojmo | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Znojmo Yth. | Znojmo U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jul 2007 | Visnove Yth. | Znojmo Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.