Lubomir Satka

30 yrs · Centre-back · Slovakia
Samsunspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€358k – €1.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€346k – €977k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€447k – €1.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.3M – €619k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€358k – €1.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€346k – €977k
Projected value (24 months)€447k – €1.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Lubomir Satka's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 47

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average29.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €806k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-47% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2146 (70% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
30 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1310
Opponent strength
1265
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€447k – €1.2M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 92% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -60% to -48%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SamsunsporSuper LigCB27214670%110.080.08126513100.40
2024/25SamsunsporSuper LigCB31274285%010.030.04128112860.39
2023/24SamsunsporSuper LigCB26220865%120.120.13129012170.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingSamsunspor2180001398
2014/15Fa CupNewcastle United13100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jonas Svensson
Super Lig · 2024
31€1.7M€500kfell
Oleksandr Svatok
Premier Liga · 2024
30€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Rodrigo Galo
Super League 1 · 2017
31€1.3M€600kfell
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Super Lig · 2021
29€1.7M€1.1Mfell
Paul Hanlon
Scottish Premiership · 2019
29€800k€400kfell
Denys Miroshnichenko
Premier Liga · 2024
30€900k€400kfell
Uğur Çiftçi
Super Lig · 2022
30€2.6M€1.3Mfell
Fabrice N'Sakala
Super Lig · 2020
30€1.2M€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026SamsunsporWithout ClubUnknown€1.5M
1 Jul 2023Lech PoznanSamsunsporFree / loan€800k
19 Jul 2019Dunajska StredaLech Poznan€750k€650k
1 Jul 2017NewcastleDunajska StredaFree / loan€250k
30 Jun 2017Dunajska StredaNewcastleFree / loan€250k
9 Jan 2017NewcastleDunajska StredaFree / loanData unavailable
29 Feb 2016York CityNewcastleFree / loanData unavailable
29 Jan 2016NewcastleYork CityFree / loanData unavailable
25 Mar 2014Newcastle U18NewcastleUnknownData unavailable
14 May 2012Dubnica Yth.Newcastle U18€100kData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.