Mërgim Vojvoda
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mërgim Vojvoda's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-8.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-1.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 30
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 78.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -52% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1593 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1510
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €852k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+130 Elo); role change CB -> RB; relative output up 58% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -68% to -41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1593 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Como 1907 | Serie A | RB | 30 | 1593 | 47% | 2 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 1510 | 1589 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 17 | 1108 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1505 | 1458 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | RB | 11 | 718 | 21% | 1 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 1449 | 1461 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Torino FC | Serie A | LM | 28 | 1372 | 40% | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 1464 | 1510 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Torino FC | Serie A | LM | 29 | 1714 | 50% | 0 | 5 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 1416 | 1468 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Torino FC | Serie A | LM | 29 | 1980 | 58% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 1450 | 1423 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Torino FC | Serie A | RM | 24 | 1365 | 40% | 2 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 1454 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2020/21 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 3 | 270 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1281 | 1392 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 25 | 2110 | 81% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 1383 | 1458 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 29 | 2203 | 82% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 1374 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 26 | 2031 | 75% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 1359 | 1207 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 21 | 1446 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1341 | 1219 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Como 1907 | 4 | 222 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 210 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 205 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 1 | 37 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 1 | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Standard Liège | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Max Bundesliga · 2024 | 31 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Manuel Pasqual Serie A · 2015 | 33 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Paulão Laliga · 2013 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Jonathan Brison Ligue 1 · 2013 | 30 | €1.8M | €500k | fell |
| Alberto Moreno Laliga · 2024 | 32 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ermin Bicakcic Bundesliga · 2020 | 30 | €2.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Patric Serie A · 2022 | 29 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Óscar de Marcos Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | Torino | Como | €2.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Standard Liège | Torino | €5.2M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Mouscron | Standard Liège | €1.2M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Standard U21 | Mouscron | Free / loan | €75k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Carl Zeiss Jena | Standard U21 | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Standard U21 | Carl Zeiss Jena | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Sint-Truiden | Standard U21 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 20 Aug 2014 | Standard U21 | Sint-Truiden | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Standard U19 | Standard U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | MVV U17 | Standard U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.