Alberto Moreno

The model rates Alberto Moreno's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1234 (36% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.29

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.18

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

82 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1589

Opponent strength

1423

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€347k – €955k

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+128 Elo); relative output up 265% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -50% to -39%).

• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1234 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.