Konstantinos Tsimikas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Konstantinos Tsimikas's performance-implied value at EUR 5.7M-10.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.47x the positional average in the league (638 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | High | 82.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 638 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1638
- Opponent strength
- 1455
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-162 Elo); league level down (-108 Elo); role change LB -> LM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -71% to -59%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 638 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | LM | 18 | 638 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1455 | 1638 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | LB | 18 | 833 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 1536 | 1800 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | LB | 13 | 677 | 20% | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.18 | 1581 | 1755 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | LB | 20 | 767 | 22% | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.22 | 1552 | 1771 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | LB | 13 | 874 | 26% | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 1514 | 1898 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | LB | 2 | 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1794 | 1763 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | LB | 20 | 1733 | 74% | 0 | 5 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 1302 | 1591 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | LB | 15 | 1262 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1287 | 1557 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | LB | 33 | 2809 | 92% | 3 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 1338 | 1287 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | LB | 5 | 418 | 18% | 1 | 2 | 0.65 | 0.30 | 1335 | 1206 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | LB | 1 | 63 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1230 | 1520 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | LB | 3 | 196 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1191 | 1585 | 0.46 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 7 | 412 | 0 | 1 | 1472 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 6 | 444 | 0 | 1 | 1659 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Liverpool FC | 6 | 397 | 0 | 0 | 1568 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 2 | 109 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 6 | 342 | 0 | 2 | 1687 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 5 | 344 | 0 | 2 | 1667 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 5 | 259 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 4 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 1569 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 540 | 0 | 1 | 1674 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1522 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 384 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 433 | 0 | 1 | 1479 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | 1401 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 4 | 373 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 495 | 0 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sulley Muntari Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Javier Pastore Serie A · 2020 | 31 | €8.0M | €900k | fell |
| Simone Padoin Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Héctor Herrera Laliga · 2022 | 32 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Sami Khedira Serie A · 2020 | 33 | €5.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Stefan Ilsanker Bundesliga · 2019 | 30 | €4.5M | €1.7M | fell |
| Abou Diaby Premier League · 2013 | 27 | €4.0M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Roma | Liverpool | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Liverpool | Roma | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 10 Aug 2020 | Olympiacos | Liverpool | €13.0M | €9.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Willem II | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €850k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Olympiacos | Willem II | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Esbjerg fB | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Olympiacos | Esbjerg fB | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Olympiacos U20 | Olympiacos | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Panserraik. U19 | Olympiacos U20 | €35k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.