Daam Foulon

27 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Belgium
Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: left · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€787k – €2.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€684k – €2.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€589k – €1.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €1.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€787k – €2.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€684k – €2.5M
Projected value (24 months)€589k – €1.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Daam Foulon's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1544 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 20

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage38.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.3 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.3M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-51% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1544 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.21
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
39 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1365
Opponent strength
1382
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€589k – €1.9M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -50% to -3%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1544 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueLM23154457%030.170.21138213650.65
2024/25KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLM20159359%340.400.31134713500.63
2023/24KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueLB29254494%220.140.16138313670.63
2020/21Benevento CalcioSerie ALB23101830%000.000.09150912530.90
2020/21SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueLB1171%000.000.19146111870.55
2019/20SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueLB23190573%030.140.17138511870.63
2018/19SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueLB1179730%000.000.08135312760.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsRoyal Antwerp FC10746021371
2023/24Volkswagen SupercupKV Mechelen145001497
2020/21Italy CupBenevento Calcio14500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Pavel Mogilevets
Premier Liga · 2020
27€2.4M€800kfell
Aiden O'Neill
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
26€1.5M€3.0Mrose
Raheem Lawal
Super Lig · 2016
26€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Dener
Liga Portugal · 2018
26€1.3M€650kfell
Marlon Fossey
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
26€3.0M€3.5Mflat
Saido Berahino
Jupiler Pro League · 2020
27€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Bruno Gallo
Liga Portugal · 2015
27€1.5M€800kfell
Fernando Canesin
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
26€1.2M€1.1Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025KV MechelenRoyal AntwerpFree / loan€2.5M
7 Jul 2023BeneventoKV MechelenFree / loan€700k
1 Sept 2020Waasland-BeverenBenevento€500k€625k
30 Jan 2018Anderlecht U21Waasland-BeverenUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Anderlecht U17Anderlecht U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Anderlecht Yth.Anderlecht U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Lierse SK Yth.Anderlecht Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.