
Daam Foulon
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daam Foulon's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1544 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 20
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1544 (57% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1365
- Opponent strength
- 1382
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €589k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -50% to -3%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1544 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 23 | 1544 | 57% | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 1382 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 20 | 1593 | 59% | 3 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 1347 | 1350 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 29 | 2544 | 94% | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 1383 | 1367 | 0.63 |
| 2020/21 | Benevento Calcio | Serie A | LB | 23 | 1018 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1509 | 1253 | 0.90 |
| 2020/21 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 1 | 17 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1461 | 1187 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 23 | 1905 | 73% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 1385 | 1187 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 11 | 797 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1353 | 1276 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 10 | 746 | 0 | 2 | 1371 |
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | KV Mechelen | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1497 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Benevento Calcio | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Mogilevets Premier Liga · 2020 | 27 | €2.4M | €800k | fell |
| Aiden O'Neill Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 26 | €1.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Raheem Lawal Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Dener Liga Portugal · 2018 | 26 | €1.3M | €650k | fell |
| Marlon Fossey Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 26 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Saido Berahino Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 27 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Bruno Gallo Liga Portugal · 2015 | 27 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Fernando Canesin Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €1.2M | €1.1M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | KV Mechelen | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 7 Jul 2023 | Benevento | KV Mechelen | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Waasland-Beveren | Benevento | €500k | €625k |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Anderlecht U21 | Waasland-Beveren | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Anderlecht U17 | Anderlecht U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Anderlecht Yth. | Anderlecht U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Lierse SK Yth. | Anderlecht Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.