Joël Ito
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joël Ito's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.57x the positional average in the league (2077 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 63
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €664k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2077 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 27 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1297
- Opponent strength
- 1367
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €380k – €990k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -55% to +27%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 28 | 2077 | 77% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 1367 | 1296 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 263 | 0 | 0 | 1261 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeniy Bashkirov Premier Liga · 2019 | 28 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| João Mendes Liga Portugal · 2023 | 29 | €800k | €2.0M | rose |
| Volodymyr Arzhanov Premier Liga · 2014 | 29 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Murat Ceylan Super Lig · 2015 | 27 | €1.0M | €200k | fell |
| Pol Llonch Eredivisie · 2019 | 27 | €1.3M | €1.4M | flat |
| Catalin Carp Premier Liga · 2020 | 27 | €1.4M | €450k | fell |
| Andi Lila Super League 1 · 2013 | 27 | €750k | €1.4M | rose |
| Kenneth Van Goethem Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 29 | €700k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Olym. Charleroi | La Louvière | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | UR La Louvière | Olym. Charleroi | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Without Club | UR La Louvière | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 14 Jan 2020 | ASV Geel | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 27 Aug 2019 | KV Mechelen U21 | ASV Geel | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Sept 2018 | Without Club | KV Mechelen U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Brügge U21 | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Brügge U17 | FC Brügge U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.