Tete Morente

29 yrs · Left winger (also RW) · Spain
US Lecce · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.8M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€574k – €1.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.5M – €5.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€772k – €1.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€417k – €5.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€574k – €1.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €5.5M
Projected value (24 months)€772k – €1.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tete Morente's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-5.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1792 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 32

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average57th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.3M vs market €1.8M
Expected appreciationVery low-39% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1792 (52% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
57 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1371
Opponent strength
1460
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€772k – €1.7M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change LW -> RW.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -48% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1792 league minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Elche CFLaligaRW1393327%110.190.37146013890.95
2025/26US LecceSerie ALW1685925%010.100.37151913520.93
2024/25US LecceSerie ALW31202959%320.220.39149713510.99
2022/23Elche CFLaligaLW32207361%400.170.40152613530.98
2021/22Elche CFLaligaLW32163648%330.330.44152014211.05
2020/21Elche CFLaligaLW28188955%250.330.49155114111.10

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupUS Lecce29100—
2024/25Italy CupUS Lecce16000—
2022/23Copa Del ReyElche CF320210—
2021/22Copa Del ReyElche CF25800—
2020/21Copa Del ReyElche CF12200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
David Barral
Super Lig · 2013
30€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Sergey Kornilenko
Premier Liga · 2014
31€1.5M€500kfell
Assan Ceesay
Serie A · 2023
29€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Sandro Ramírez
Laliga · 2024
29€1.5M€1.5Mflat
Mario Santana
Serie A · 2013
32€1.9M€250kfell
Doka Madureira
Super Lig · 2013
29€3.0M€1.8Mfell
Cameron Jerome
Premier League · 2016
30€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Pere Milla
Laliga · 2021
29€1.8M€3.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
2 Feb 2026LecceElche CFFree / loan€1.8M
1 Jul 2024Elche CFLecceFree / loan€2.5M
16 Sept 2020Málaga CFElche CF€500k€400k
29 Jan 2020CD LugoMálaga CFFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2019GimnàsticCD LugoUnknown€500k
30 Jun 2019CD LugoGimnàsticFree / loan€500k
25 Jan 2019GimnàsticCD LugoFree / loan€500k
9 Jul 2017Atl. BalearesGimnàsticFree / loan€200k
31 Aug 2016Atl. MadrileñoAtl. BalearesUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Atl. Madrid U19Atl. MadrileñoUnknownData unavailable
18 Jan 2014Taraguilla JgdAtl. Madrid U19UnknownData unavailable
30 Jun 2013Zabal YouthTaraguilla JgdFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2013Taraguilla JgdZabal YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.